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NH-01 Republican Primary Winner

icon for NH-01 Republican Primary Winner

NH-01 Republican Primary Winner

Anthony DiLorenzo 72%

Hollie Noveletsky 17%

Melissa Bailey 3.7%

Elizabeth Girard 2.8%

Polymarket

$40,633 Vol.

Anthony DiLorenzo 72%

Hollie Noveletsky 17%

Melissa Bailey 3.7%

Elizabeth Girard 2.8%

Polymarket

$40,633 Vol.

Anthony DiLorenzo

$1,910 Vol.

72%

Hollie Noveletsky

$22,988 Vol.

17%

Melissa Bailey

$1,058 Vol.

4%

Elizabeth Girard

$13,609 Vol.

3%

Brian Cole

$1,069 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Anthony DiLorenzo leads the NH-01 Republican primary market at 72% due to his substantial early fundraising edge, business profile as owner of a large auto dealership group, and positioning as an outsider focused on energy costs, federal spending restraint, and private-sector efficiency in government.** The open seat, created by Rep. Chris Pappas’s Senate bid, has drawn a crowded field, but DiLorenzo’s reported receipts exceeding $1.29 million as of March 2026 far outpace others and support expectations of self-funding capacity ahead of the September 8, 2026 primary. **Hollie Noveletsky holds second place at 16%, reflecting her prior 2024 candidacy for the seat, role as former New Hampshire Republican Party vice chair, manufacturing business ownership, and military veteran background.** She has drawn contrasts on issues such as immigration enforcement. Melissa Bailey (5.1%), state Rep. Brian Cole (3.6%), and Elizabeth Girard (3.5%) trail, consistent with their lower reported fundraising and narrower name recognition at this stage. **Recent developments center on the June 2026 filing period, when multiple candidates—including DiLorenzo, Bailey, and Cole—submitted paperwork, alongside emerging campaign contrasts and limited early media coverage.** No public polls have surfaced to shift sentiment, leaving trader consensus anchored in resource disparities and establishment versus outsider dynamics typical of an open-district primary. The race remains fluid, with outcomes sensitive to further endorsements, spending patterns, and turnout among Republican primary voters.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$40,633
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Anthony DiLorenzo leads the NH-01 Republican primary market at 72% due to his substantial early fundraising edge, business profile as owner of a large auto dealership group, and positioning as an outsider focused on energy costs, federal spending restraint, and private-sector efficiency in government.** The open seat, created by Rep. Chris Pappas’s Senate bid, has drawn a crowded field, but DiLorenzo’s reported receipts exceeding $1.29 million as of March 2026 far outpace others and support expectations of self-funding capacity ahead of the September 8, 2026 primary. **Hollie Noveletsky holds second place at 16%, reflecting her prior 2024 candidacy for the seat, role as former New Hampshire Republican Party vice chair, manufacturing business ownership, and military veteran background.** She has drawn contrasts on issues such as immigration enforcement. Melissa Bailey (5.1%), state Rep. Brian Cole (3.6%), and Elizabeth Girard (3.5%) trail, consistent with their lower reported fundraising and narrower name recognition at this stage. **Recent developments center on the June 2026 filing period, when multiple candidates—including DiLorenzo, Bailey, and Cole—submitted paperwork, alongside emerging campaign contrasts and limited early media coverage.** No public polls have surfaced to shift sentiment, leaving trader consensus anchored in resource disparities and establishment versus outsider dynamics typical of an open-district primary. The race remains fluid, with outcomes sensitive to further endorsements, spending patterns, and turnout among Republican primary voters.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$40,633
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"NH-01 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Anthony DiLorenzo" di 72%, diikuti oleh "Hollie Noveletsky" di 17%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 72¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 72% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "NH-01 Republican Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $40.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Feb 23, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "NH-01 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "NH-01 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Anthony DiLorenzo" di 72%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 72% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Hollie Noveletsky" di 17%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "NH-01 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.