Trump's July 2026 endorsement of businessman Anthony DiLorenzo in the September 8 New Hampshire 1st District Republican primary has consolidated trader consensus around his 88.5% implied probability, reflecting the endorsement's typical impact on GOP primary fields. DiLorenzo, a seacoast auto group owner filing in early June, gained momentum as the consensus choice to challenge incumbent Democrat Chris Pappas in the general election. Hollie Noveletsky, the state party vice chair and manufacturing executive who led some earlier polling and secured local endorsements, holds 10% amid her decision to remain in the race post-endorsement. The remaining candidates—Melissa Bailey, Brian Cole, and Elizabeth Girard—register negligible shares consistent with limited name recognition or organizational support in recent filings and coverage.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNH-01 Republican Primary Winner
Anthony DiLorenzo 89%
Hollie Noveletsky 10%
Melissa Bailey <1%
Brian Cole <1%
$46,928 Vol.
$46,928 Vol.

Anthony DiLorenzo
89%

Hollie Noveletsky
10%

Melissa Bailey
1%

Brian Cole
1%

Elizabeth Girard
<1%
Anthony DiLorenzo 89%
Hollie Noveletsky 10%
Melissa Bailey <1%
Brian Cole <1%
$46,928 Vol.
$46,928 Vol.

Anthony DiLorenzo
89%

Hollie Noveletsky
10%

Melissa Bailey
1%

Brian Cole
1%

Elizabeth Girard
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's July 2026 endorsement of businessman Anthony DiLorenzo in the September 8 New Hampshire 1st District Republican primary has consolidated trader consensus around his 88.5% implied probability, reflecting the endorsement's typical impact on GOP primary fields. DiLorenzo, a seacoast auto group owner filing in early June, gained momentum as the consensus choice to challenge incumbent Democrat Chris Pappas in the general election. Hollie Noveletsky, the state party vice chair and manufacturing executive who led some earlier polling and secured local endorsements, holds 10% amid her decision to remain in the race post-endorsement. The remaining candidates—Melissa Bailey, Brian Cole, and Elizabeth Girard—register negligible shares consistent with limited name recognition or organizational support in recent filings and coverage.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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