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Pemilihan Umum·Primer

NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Pemilihan Umum·Primer

NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Stefany Shaheen 61%

Maura Sullivan 29%

Heath Howard 7.6%

Carleigh Beriont 7%

Polymarket

$13,873 Vol.

Stefany Shaheen 61%

Maura Sullivan 29%

Heath Howard 7.6%

Carleigh Beriont 7%

Polymarket

$13,873 Vol.

Stefany Shaheen

$8,409 Vol.

61%

Maura Sullivan

$3,518 Vol.

29%

Heath Howard

$498 Vol.

8%

Carleigh Beriont

$1,448 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Hampshire's open 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on September 8, trader consensus prices Stefany Shaheen as the frontrunner at 60.5% implied probability, driven by her late April endorsements from every Democratic mayor in the district—completing a sweep of local establishment backing—and sustained polling leads from prior surveys like the August 2025 Saint Anselm poll showing her at 23% versus single digits for rivals. Maura Sullivan trails at 28%, buoyed by dominant Q1 2026 fundraising of $720,000 in the quarter and $1.5 million cash on hand, outpacing Shaheen's $510,000. Heath Howard and Carleigh Beriont linger in single digits amid limited resources, with recent April-May candidate forums underscoring a competitive but stable field ahead of summer campaigning.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$13,873
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Hampshire's open 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on September 8, trader consensus prices Stefany Shaheen as the frontrunner at 60.5% implied probability, driven by her late April endorsements from every Democratic mayor in the district—completing a sweep of local establishment backing—and sustained polling leads from prior surveys like the August 2025 Saint Anselm poll showing her at 23% versus single digits for rivals. Maura Sullivan trails at 28%, buoyed by dominant Q1 2026 fundraising of $720,000 in the quarter and $1.5 million cash on hand, outpacing Shaheen's $510,000. Heath Howard and Carleigh Beriont linger in single digits amid limited resources, with recent April-May candidate forums underscoring a competitive but stable field ahead of summer campaigning.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$13,873
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Stefany Shaheen" di 61%, diikuti oleh "Maura Sullivan" di 28%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 61¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 61% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $13.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 25, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Stefany Shaheen" di 61%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 61% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Maura Sullivan" di 28%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.