Recent forecast consensus from models and official sources positions a 31–33°C high in Ankara on September 12 as the most likely outcome under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure typical of late-summer continental conditions. Current observations show daytime maxima near 30°C with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, supporting modest warming into the low 30s rather than cooler historical September averages around 26–27°C. Traders appear to weigh these short-range model runs and the absence of incoming frontal systems or significant moisture, which could otherwise moderate temperatures. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary station, with any late adjustments to steering patterns or radiative heating potentially shifting the final value within the narrow 31–33°C range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on September 12?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 12?
31°C 43%
32°C 38%
29°C 10%
33°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
10%
30°C
6%
31°C
43%
32°C
38%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
2%
31°C 43%
32°C 38%
29°C 10%
33°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
10%
30°C
$120 Vol.
6%
31°C
$330 Vol.
43%
32°C
$308 Vol.
38%
33°C
$105 Vol.
9%
34°C
$100 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models and official sources positions a 31–33°C high in Ankara on September 12 as the most likely outcome under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure typical of late-summer continental conditions. Current observations show daytime maxima near 30°C with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, supporting modest warming into the low 30s rather than cooler historical September averages around 26–27°C. Traders appear to weigh these short-range model runs and the absence of incoming frontal systems or significant moisture, which could otherwise moderate temperatures. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary station, with any late adjustments to steering patterns or radiative heating potentially shifting the final value within the narrow 31–33°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$963Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models and official sources positions a 31–33°C high in Ankara on September 12 as the most likely outcome under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure typical of late-summer continental conditions. Current observations show daytime maxima near 30°C with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, supporting modest warming into the low 30s rather than cooler historical September averages around 26–27°C. Traders appear to weigh these short-range model runs and the absence of incoming frontal systems or significant moisture, which could otherwise moderate temperatures. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary station, with any late adjustments to steering patterns or radiative heating potentially shifting the final value within the narrow 31–33°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$963Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models and official sources positions a 31–33°C high in Ankara on September 12 as the most likely outcome under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure typical of late-summer continental conditions. Current observations show daytime maxima near 30°C with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, supporting modest warming into the low 30s rather than cooler historical September averages around 26–27°C. Traders appear to weigh these short-range model runs and the absence of incoming frontal systems or significant moisture, which could otherwise moderate temperatures. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary station, with any late adjustments to steering patterns or radiative heating potentially shifting the final value within the narrow 31–33°C range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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