Forecast consensus from regional models points to a peak of 30°C in Ankara on September 10 under clear skies and light westerly flow, aligning with the market's dominant 62.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Recent high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover have stabilized daytime heating near late-summer norms, with ensemble runs showing only modest spread between 29–31°C. The 24% chance assigned to 31°C reflects residual model uncertainty in maximum insolation timing, while lower-probability bins below 29°C or above 32°C remain discounted absent any incoming frontal activity or measurement revisions. Official observations from central stations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on September 10?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 10?
30°C 63%
31°C 24%
29°C 8%
27°C 2%
BARU
$13,976 Vol.
BARU
$13,976 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
63%
31°C
24%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 63%
31°C 24%
29°C 8%
27°C 2%
BARU
$13,976 Vol.
BARU
$13,976 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
24°C or below
$1,270 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$361 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$538 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$101 Vol.
2%
28°C
$378 Vol.
2%
29°C
$1,965 Vol.
8%
30°C
$4,753 Vol.
63%
31°C
$3,254 Vol.
24%
32°C
$920 Vol.
2%
33°C
$56 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$379 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from regional models points to a peak of 30°C in Ankara on September 10 under clear skies and light westerly flow, aligning with the market's dominant 62.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Recent high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover have stabilized daytime heating near late-summer norms, with ensemble runs showing only modest spread between 29–31°C. The 24% chance assigned to 31°C reflects residual model uncertainty in maximum insolation timing, while lower-probability bins below 29°C or above 32°C remain discounted absent any incoming frontal activity or measurement revisions. Official observations from central stations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$13,976Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from regional models points to a peak of 30°C in Ankara on September 10 under clear skies and light westerly flow, aligning with the market's dominant 62.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Recent high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover have stabilized daytime heating near late-summer norms, with ensemble runs showing only modest spread between 29–31°C. The 24% chance assigned to 31°C reflects residual model uncertainty in maximum insolation timing, while lower-probability bins below 29°C or above 32°C remain discounted absent any incoming frontal activity or measurement revisions. Official observations from central stations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,976Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from regional models points to a peak of 30°C in Ankara on September 10 under clear skies and light westerly flow, aligning with the market's dominant 62.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Recent high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover have stabilized daytime heating near late-summer norms, with ensemble runs showing only modest spread between 29–31°C. The 24% chance assigned to 31°C reflects residual model uncertainty in maximum insolation timing, while lower-probability bins below 29°C or above 32°C remain discounted absent any incoming frontal activity or measurement revisions. Official observations from central stations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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