**Forecast consensus from Chinese meteorological services and international models points to a daytime high of 25–26°C in Qingdao on September 9, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s overwhelming 98% implied probability for 26°C as the daily maximum. Current observations around midday show temperatures near 23–25°C, consistent with climatological September averages of roughly 26°C highs and no significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification expected. Official station data, which resolve these markets, have tracked closely with model runs showing limited diurnal range due to coastal influence and wind. Only an unanticipated sharp drop in cloud cover or measurement outlier at the primary station could realistically shift the outcome toward 27°C or higher, though model agreement makes such divergence unlikely before evening.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 9?
26°C 98%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
$27,855 Vol.
$27,855 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
98%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
26°C 98%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
$27,855 Vol.
$27,855 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
98%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from Chinese meteorological services and international models points to a daytime high of 25–26°C in Qingdao on September 9, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s overwhelming 98% implied probability for 26°C as the daily maximum. Current observations around midday show temperatures near 23–25°C, consistent with climatological September averages of roughly 26°C highs and no significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification expected. Official station data, which resolve these markets, have tracked closely with model runs showing limited diurnal range due to coastal influence and wind. Only an unanticipated sharp drop in cloud cover or measurement outlier at the primary station could realistically shift the outcome toward 27°C or higher, though model agreement makes such divergence unlikely before evening.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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