**Current forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and regional models indicate a daytime high near 36°C on September 9, consistent with the market's leading 42.5% implied probability, as a lingering subtropical high maintains hot, humid conditions before a cold-air intrusion drives cooling from September 10.** Recent observations show daytime maxima of 37–39°C across parts of the municipality on September 8, with partly cloudy skies and isolated afternoon showers limiting further intensification. Climatologically, early-September highs average 30–32°C, though heatwaves can push extremes above 38°C; the current setup reflects typical late-summer steering patterns rather than anomalous persistence. Model runs exhibit modest spread in peak values due to variable cloud cover and localized orographic effects in Chongqing's hilly terrain, with official guidance emphasizing 35–37°C as the most probable range. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs and the next agency briefing will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
36°C 43%
37°C 27%
35°C 14%
38°C 8%
$16,559 Vol.
$16,559 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
8%
35°C
14%
36°C
43%
37°C
27%
38°C
8%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 43%
37°C 27%
35°C 14%
38°C 8%
$16,559 Vol.
$16,559 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
8%
35°C
14%
36°C
43%
37°C
27%
38°C
8%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and regional models indicate a daytime high near 36°C on September 9, consistent with the market's leading 42.5% implied probability, as a lingering subtropical high maintains hot, humid conditions before a cold-air intrusion drives cooling from September 10.** Recent observations show daytime maxima of 37–39°C across parts of the municipality on September 8, with partly cloudy skies and isolated afternoon showers limiting further intensification. Climatologically, early-September highs average 30–32°C, though heatwaves can push extremes above 38°C; the current setup reflects typical late-summer steering patterns rather than anomalous persistence. Model runs exhibit modest spread in peak values due to variable cloud cover and localized orographic effects in Chongqing's hilly terrain, with official guidance emphasizing 35–37°C as the most probable range. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs and the next agency briefing will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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