**Incoming cold air and variable cloud cover create the main uncertainty in Chongqing’s overnight minimum on September 9.** Official forecasts show a lingering warm, mostly clear pattern through the evening of the 8th, with daytime highs near 35–37 °C, followed by a frontal passage or northerly surge expected late on the 9th or overnight. This timing difference directly affects radiative cooling: earlier cloud or rain reduces the drop, while clearer skies allow temperatures to fall more sharply toward the 21–26 °C range shown in several model runs. Recent updates from Chinese meteorological sources highlight the 9th night as the likely arrival window, keeping market-implied probabilities clustered around 27–30 °C as traders weigh the latest ensemble guidance and the precise hour when cooling begins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
28°C 32%
27°C 30%
30°C 26%
26°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
24°C or below
5%
25°C
6%
26°C
16%
27°C
30%
28°C
32%
29°C
21%
30°C
26%
31°C
9%
32°C
1%
33°C
8%
34°C or higher
9%
28°C 32%
27°C 30%
30°C 26%
26°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
24°C or below
$35 Vol.
5%
25°C
$0 Vol.
6%
26°C
$318 Vol.
16%
27°C
$0 Vol.
30%
28°C
$23 Vol.
32%
29°C
$220 Vol.
21%
30°C
$0 Vol.
26%
31°C
$103 Vol.
9%
32°C
$32 Vol.
1%
33°C
$72 Vol.
8%
34°C or higher
$25 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Incoming cold air and variable cloud cover create the main uncertainty in Chongqing’s overnight minimum on September 9.** Official forecasts show a lingering warm, mostly clear pattern through the evening of the 8th, with daytime highs near 35–37 °C, followed by a frontal passage or northerly surge expected late on the 9th or overnight. This timing difference directly affects radiative cooling: earlier cloud or rain reduces the drop, while clearer skies allow temperatures to fall more sharply toward the 21–26 °C range shown in several model runs. Recent updates from Chinese meteorological sources highlight the 9th night as the likely arrival window, keeping market-implied probabilities clustered around 27–30 °C as traders weigh the latest ensemble guidance and the precise hour when cooling begins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$828Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Incoming cold air and variable cloud cover create the main uncertainty in Chongqing’s overnight minimum on September 9.** Official forecasts show a lingering warm, mostly clear pattern through the evening of the 8th, with daytime highs near 35–37 °C, followed by a frontal passage or northerly surge expected late on the 9th or overnight. This timing difference directly affects radiative cooling: earlier cloud or rain reduces the drop, while clearer skies allow temperatures to fall more sharply toward the 21–26 °C range shown in several model runs. Recent updates from Chinese meteorological sources highlight the 9th night as the likely arrival window, keeping market-implied probabilities clustered around 27–30 °C as traders weigh the latest ensemble guidance and the precise hour when cooling begins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$828Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Incoming cold air and variable cloud cover create the main uncertainty in Chongqing’s overnight minimum on September 9.** Official forecasts show a lingering warm, mostly clear pattern through the evening of the 8th, with daytime highs near 35–37 °C, followed by a frontal passage or northerly surge expected late on the 9th or overnight. This timing difference directly affects radiative cooling: earlier cloud or rain reduces the drop, while clearer skies allow temperatures to fall more sharply toward the 21–26 °C range shown in several model runs. Recent updates from Chinese meteorological sources highlight the 9th night as the likely arrival window, keeping market-implied probabilities clustered around 27–30 °C as traders weigh the latest ensemble guidance and the precise hour when cooling begins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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