Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Dallas on September 10 shows a consensus high near 99–100 °F under continued sunny skies, light southerly flow, and strong high pressure that has suppressed cloud cover and maintained above-normal temperatures. This aligns with the market’s heaviest volume on the 98–99 °F bin and supports the 100–101 °F tier as the next most likely outcome. Persistent warmth through the prior week, with daily maxima of 98–102 °F and heat indices exceeding 105 °F, has reinforced trader expectations that the current pattern will hold through the forecast period. Minor model spread on timing of any weak moisture return introduces limited downside risk to the 96–97 °F range, but no significant cooling is indicated before the observation window closes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Dallas on September 10?
98-99°F 36%
96-97°F 22%
100-101°F 21%
94-95°F 10%
89°F or below
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
22%
98-99°F
36%
100-101°F
21%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
2%
108°F or higher
2%
98-99°F 36%
96-97°F 22%
100-101°F 21%
94-95°F 10%
89°F or below
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
22%
98-99°F
36%
100-101°F
21%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
2%
108°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Dallas on September 10 shows a consensus high near 99–100 °F under continued sunny skies, light southerly flow, and strong high pressure that has suppressed cloud cover and maintained above-normal temperatures. This aligns with the market’s heaviest volume on the 98–99 °F bin and supports the 100–101 °F tier as the next most likely outcome. Persistent warmth through the prior week, with daily maxima of 98–102 °F and heat indices exceeding 105 °F, has reinforced trader expectations that the current pattern will hold through the forecast period. Minor model spread on timing of any weak moisture return introduces limited downside risk to the 96–97 °F range, but no significant cooling is indicated before the observation window closes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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