Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station indicate a shift to cloudy conditions with array rain on September 8, driven by weakening subtropical high pressure and the arrival of cooler, moist air. This setup favors daytime maxima near 29–30°C, as increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling from precipitation limit solar heating compared to the preceding sunny “autumn tiger” pattern that produced 33–36°C peaks. Ensemble models show modest spread in timing and intensity of showers, which accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–32°C. Updated numerical guidance and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 8?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 8?
31°C 20%
30°C 19%
29°C 15%
32°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Sep 8, 2026
26°C or below
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
11%
29°C
15%
30°C
19%
31°C
20%
32°C
14%
33°C
11%
34°C
13%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
4%
31°C 20%
30°C 19%
29°C 15%
32°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Sep 8, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
5%
28°C
$0 Vol.
11%
29°C
$12 Vol.
15%
30°C
$5 Vol.
19%
31°C
$0 Vol.
20%
32°C
$6 Vol.
14%
33°C
$2 Vol.
11%
34°C
$0 Vol.
13%
35°C
$0 Vol.
4%
36°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station indicate a shift to cloudy conditions with array rain on September 8, driven by weakening subtropical high pressure and the arrival of cooler, moist air. This setup favors daytime maxima near 29–30°C, as increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling from precipitation limit solar heating compared to the preceding sunny “autumn tiger” pattern that produced 33–36°C peaks. Ensemble models show modest spread in timing and intensity of showers, which accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–32°C. Updated numerical guidance and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$26Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station indicate a shift to cloudy conditions with array rain on September 8, driven by weakening subtropical high pressure and the arrival of cooler, moist air. This setup favors daytime maxima near 29–30°C, as increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling from precipitation limit solar heating compared to the preceding sunny “autumn tiger” pattern that produced 33–36°C peaks. Ensemble models show modest spread in timing and intensity of showers, which accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–32°C. Updated numerical guidance and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station indicate a shift to cloudy conditions with array rain on September 8, driven by weakening subtropical high pressure and the arrival of cooler, moist air. This setup favors daytime maxima near 29–30°C, as increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling from precipitation limit solar heating compared to the preceding sunny “autumn tiger” pattern that produced 33–36°C peaks. Ensemble models show modest spread in timing and intensity of showers, which accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–32°C. Updated numerical guidance and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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