Official National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for San Francisco on September 5 point to a high near 66–68°F, driven by a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore westerly flow off the Pacific that limits daytime warming. This setup follows recent unsettled weather and light rain earlier in the week, which reinforced cooler, more stable conditions typical of early September coastal climates. Historical averages near 70°F and occasional marine-layer clearing create upside potential for 70–73°F readings if winds shift or the inversion weakens, aligning with the market’s emphasis on the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins. Traders are weighting these factors against the strong likelihood of continued stratus and sea-breeze cooling that caps most outcomes below 74°F.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 5?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 5?
70-71°F 45%
72-73°F 29%
68-69°F 22%
66-67°F 13%
BARU
BARU
Sep 5, 2026
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
13%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
45%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
4%
78°F or higher
4%
70-71°F 45%
72-73°F 29%
68-69°F 22%
66-67°F 13%
BARU
BARU
Sep 5, 2026
59°F or below
$0 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$251 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
4%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
6%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
13%
68-69°F
$54 Vol.
22%
70-71°F
$243 Vol.
45%
72-73°F
$346 Vol.
29%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
4%
78°F or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for San Francisco on September 5 point to a high near 66–68°F, driven by a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore westerly flow off the Pacific that limits daytime warming. This setup follows recent unsettled weather and light rain earlier in the week, which reinforced cooler, more stable conditions typical of early September coastal climates. Historical averages near 70°F and occasional marine-layer clearing create upside potential for 70–73°F readings if winds shift or the inversion weakens, aligning with the market’s emphasis on the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins. Traders are weighting these factors against the strong likelihood of continued stratus and sea-breeze cooling that caps most outcomes below 74°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$893Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for San Francisco on September 5 point to a high near 66–68°F, driven by a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore westerly flow off the Pacific that limits daytime warming. This setup follows recent unsettled weather and light rain earlier in the week, which reinforced cooler, more stable conditions typical of early September coastal climates. Historical averages near 70°F and occasional marine-layer clearing create upside potential for 70–73°F readings if winds shift or the inversion weakens, aligning with the market’s emphasis on the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins. Traders are weighting these factors against the strong likelihood of continued stratus and sea-breeze cooling that caps most outcomes below 74°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$893Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for San Francisco on September 5 point to a high near 66–68°F, driven by a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore westerly flow off the Pacific that limits daytime warming. This setup follows recent unsettled weather and light rain earlier in the week, which reinforced cooler, more stable conditions typical of early September coastal climates. Historical averages near 70°F and occasional marine-layer clearing create upside potential for 70–73°F readings if winds shift or the inversion weakens, aligning with the market’s emphasis on the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins. Traders are weighting these factors against the strong likelihood of continued stratus and sea-breeze cooling that caps most outcomes below 74°F.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan