**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a high of 87–90°F (31–32°C) for Miami on September 3, 2026, driven by typical late-summer conditions with high humidity, southeast winds of 5–10 mph, and an 80% chance of showers and thunderstorms.** Afternoon convection and cloud cover are expected to limit peak heating, keeping temperatures near or slightly above the seasonal average while preventing stronger warming. This positions the 90–91°F bin as the leading market outcome at 45% implied probability, followed by 88–89°F at 21.5%, reflecting the narrow range of current ensemble guidance. Higher bins (92–93°F and above) carry lower odds due to the anticipated rain-cooled boundary layer and persistent moisture, consistent with historical September patterns in South Florida where tropical moisture often caps daily maxima. Traders appear to be weighting the latest short-range model runs and official NHC/NOAA briefings, which emphasize stable steering patterns and no significant changes in the subtropical ridge or tropical activity that would alter the outlook before resolution. Updated forecasts over the next 48 hours will be the key data points for any shifts in these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Miami on September 3?
Highest temperature in Miami on September 3?
90-91°F 45%
88-89°F 34%
92-93°F 15%
84-85°F 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
77°F or below
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
20%
90-91°F
45%
92-93°F
15%
94-95°F
5%
96°F or higher
2%
90-91°F 45%
88-89°F 34%
92-93°F 15%
84-85°F 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
77°F or below
$5 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$10 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$10 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$20 Vol.
9%
86-87°F
$6 Vol.
8%
88-89°F
$29 Vol.
20%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
45%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
15%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
5%
96°F or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a high of 87–90°F (31–32°C) for Miami on September 3, 2026, driven by typical late-summer conditions with high humidity, southeast winds of 5–10 mph, and an 80% chance of showers and thunderstorms.**
Afternoon convection and cloud cover are expected to limit peak heating, keeping temperatures near or slightly above the seasonal average while preventing stronger warming. This positions the 90–91°F bin as the leading market outcome at 45% implied probability, followed by 88–89°F at 21.5%, reflecting the narrow range of current ensemble guidance.
Higher bins (92–93°F and above) carry lower odds due to the anticipated rain-cooled boundary layer and persistent moisture, consistent with historical September patterns in South Florida where tropical moisture often caps daily maxima.
Traders appear to be weighting the latest short-range model runs and official NHC/NOAA briefings, which emphasize stable steering patterns and no significant changes in the subtropical ridge or tropical activity that would alter the outlook before resolution. Updated forecasts over the next 48 hours will be the key data points for any shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$80Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a high of 87–90°F (31–32°C) for Miami on September 3, 2026, driven by typical late-summer conditions with high humidity, southeast winds of 5–10 mph, and an 80% chance of showers and thunderstorms.**
Afternoon convection and cloud cover are expected to limit peak heating, keeping temperatures near or slightly above the seasonal average while preventing stronger warming. This positions the 90–91°F bin as the leading market outcome at 45% implied probability, followed by 88–89°F at 21.5%, reflecting the narrow range of current ensemble guidance.
Higher bins (92–93°F and above) carry lower odds due to the anticipated rain-cooled boundary layer and persistent moisture, consistent with historical September patterns in South Florida where tropical moisture often caps daily maxima.
Traders appear to be weighting the latest short-range model runs and official NHC/NOAA briefings, which emphasize stable steering patterns and no significant changes in the subtropical ridge or tropical activity that would alter the outlook before resolution. Updated forecasts over the next 48 hours will be the key data points for any shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$80Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a high of 87–90°F (31–32°C) for Miami on September 3, 2026, driven by typical late-summer conditions with high humidity, southeast winds of 5–10 mph, and an 80% chance of showers and thunderstorms.** Afternoon convection and cloud cover are expected to limit peak heating, keeping temperatures near or slightly above the seasonal average while preventing stronger warming. This positions the 90–91°F bin as the leading market outcome at 45% implied probability, followed by 88–89°F at 21.5%, reflecting the narrow range of current ensemble guidance. Higher bins (92–93°F and above) carry lower odds due to the anticipated rain-cooled boundary layer and persistent moisture, consistent with historical September patterns in South Florida where tropical moisture often caps daily maxima. Traders appear to be weighting the latest short-range model runs and official NHC/NOAA briefings, which emphasize stable steering patterns and no significant changes in the subtropical ridge or tropical activity that would alter the outlook before resolution. Updated forecasts over the next 48 hours will be the key data points for any shifts in these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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