Recent forecast model runs from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a high near 30–31°C for Shanghai on September 1, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered rain, and easterly flow ahead of a stronger system arriving September 2. Typical early-September climatology features highs around 28–30°C with high humidity, and current conditions—afternoon readings near 32°C on August 30—suggest modest cooling from reduced insolation and possible showers rather than strong advection. Market-implied probabilities align with this consensus, with lower odds on 32°C+ reflecting the expected suppression of peak heating; updated model outputs and official NMC briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these ranges.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 1?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 1?
30°C 44%
31°C 28%
29°C 22%
32°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
22%
30°C
44%
31°C
28%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 44%
31°C 28%
29°C 22%
32°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
$409 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$305 Vol.
1%
27°C
$385 Vol.
1%
28°C
$159 Vol.
3%
29°C
$648 Vol.
22%
30°C
$286 Vol.
44%
31°C
$278 Vol.
28%
32°C
$290 Vol.
6%
33°C
$55 Vol.
1%
34°C
$43 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$257 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a high near 30–31°C for Shanghai on September 1, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered rain, and easterly flow ahead of a stronger system arriving September 2. Typical early-September climatology features highs around 28–30°C with high humidity, and current conditions—afternoon readings near 32°C on August 30—suggest modest cooling from reduced insolation and possible showers rather than strong advection. Market-implied probabilities align with this consensus, with lower odds on 32°C+ reflecting the expected suppression of peak heating; updated model outputs and official NMC briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,116Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a high near 30–31°C for Shanghai on September 1, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered rain, and easterly flow ahead of a stronger system arriving September 2. Typical early-September climatology features highs around 28–30°C with high humidity, and current conditions—afternoon readings near 32°C on August 30—suggest modest cooling from reduced insolation and possible showers rather than strong advection. Market-implied probabilities align with this consensus, with lower odds on 32°C+ reflecting the expected suppression of peak heating; updated model outputs and official NMC briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,116Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a high near 30–31°C for Shanghai on September 1, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered rain, and easterly flow ahead of a stronger system arriving September 2. Typical early-September climatology features highs around 28–30°C with high humidity, and current conditions—afternoon readings near 32°C on August 30—suggest modest cooling from reduced insolation and possible showers rather than strong advection. Market-implied probabilities align with this consensus, with lower odds on 32°C+ reflecting the expected suppression of peak heating; updated model outputs and official NMC briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these ranges.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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