Recent NOAA-aligned forecasts for Miami on September 3 point to an overnight low near 80–81°F under southeasterly flow and high boundary-layer moisture that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent Atlantic ridging and scattered afternoon/evening thunderstorms—typical for early September—introduce the main uncertainty: heavier or earlier convection can enhance evaporative cooling and nudge readings toward the mid-70s, while delayed or lighter activity keeps lows in the low 80s. Historical climatology shows early-September minima averaging near 77°F, yet current model consensus clusters tightly around 80°F with modest spread from timing differences. Traders price the 80–81°F bin highest because it aligns with the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance, while adjacent ranges capture residual forecast divergence ahead of final model runs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Miami on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 3?
92°F or higher 49%
86-87°F 47%
88-89°F 47%
90-91°F 47%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
73°F or below
25%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
43%
86-87°F
47%
88-89°F
47%
90-91°F
47%
92°F or higher
49%
92°F or higher 49%
86-87°F 47%
88-89°F 47%
90-91°F 47%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
73°F or below
$0 Vol.
25%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
21%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
21%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
23%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
37%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
21%
84-85°F
$10 Vol.
43%
86-87°F
$10 Vol.
47%
88-89°F
$10 Vol.
47%
90-91°F
$10 Vol.
47%
92°F or higher
$10 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NOAA-aligned forecasts for Miami on September 3 point to an overnight low near 80–81°F under southeasterly flow and high boundary-layer moisture that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent Atlantic ridging and scattered afternoon/evening thunderstorms—typical for early September—introduce the main uncertainty: heavier or earlier convection can enhance evaporative cooling and nudge readings toward the mid-70s, while delayed or lighter activity keeps lows in the low 80s. Historical climatology shows early-September minima averaging near 77°F, yet current model consensus clusters tightly around 80°F with modest spread from timing differences. Traders price the 80–81°F bin highest because it aligns with the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance, while adjacent ranges capture residual forecast divergence ahead of final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$50Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NOAA-aligned forecasts for Miami on September 3 point to an overnight low near 80–81°F under southeasterly flow and high boundary-layer moisture that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent Atlantic ridging and scattered afternoon/evening thunderstorms—typical for early September—introduce the main uncertainty: heavier or earlier convection can enhance evaporative cooling and nudge readings toward the mid-70s, while delayed or lighter activity keeps lows in the low 80s. Historical climatology shows early-September minima averaging near 77°F, yet current model consensus clusters tightly around 80°F with modest spread from timing differences. Traders price the 80–81°F bin highest because it aligns with the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance, while adjacent ranges capture residual forecast divergence ahead of final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent NOAA-aligned forecasts for Miami on September 3 point to an overnight low near 80–81°F under southeasterly flow and high boundary-layer moisture that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent Atlantic ridging and scattered afternoon/evening thunderstorms—typical for early September—introduce the main uncertainty: heavier or earlier convection can enhance evaporative cooling and nudge readings toward the mid-70s, while delayed or lighter activity keeps lows in the low 80s. Historical climatology shows early-September minima averaging near 77°F, yet current model consensus clusters tightly around 80°F with modest spread from timing differences. Traders price the 80–81°F bin highest because it aligns with the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance, while adjacent ranges capture residual forecast divergence ahead of final model runs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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