Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and high humidity are capping daytime heating in Taipei, with official forecasts and model consensus pointing to a maximum near 30–31°C on September 4 amid light winds and frequent precipitation. Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and multiple global models show daytime peaks in the 27–32°C range, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 30–32°C; the 31°C outcome leads because showers often interrupt peak insolation without fully suppressing warmth. Historical September averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet short-term variability in rainfall timing and cloud thickness introduces the main uncertainty for the exact high. Updated model runs and Central Weather Administration briefings tomorrow morning will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Taipei on September 4?
31°C 35%
30°C 25%
32°C 18%
29°C 9%
$16,073 Vol.
$16,073 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
9%
30°C
25%
31°C
35%
32°C
18%
33°C
7%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 35%
30°C 25%
32°C 18%
29°C 9%
$16,073 Vol.
$16,073 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
9%
30°C
25%
31°C
35%
32°C
18%
33°C
7%
34°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and high humidity are capping daytime heating in Taipei, with official forecasts and model consensus pointing to a maximum near 30–31°C on September 4 amid light winds and frequent precipitation. Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and multiple global models show daytime peaks in the 27–32°C range, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 30–32°C; the 31°C outcome leads because showers often interrupt peak insolation without fully suppressing warmth. Historical September averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet short-term variability in rainfall timing and cloud thickness introduces the main uncertainty for the exact high. Updated model runs and Central Weather Administration briefings tomorrow morning will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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