Recent official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate a 27–32 °C range for Taipei on September 3, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 30–32 °C amid widespread cloud cover and showers. Persistent easterly flow and a low-pressure system are expected to deliver heavy rainfall and thunderstorms that suppress afternoon solar heating and cap the daily maximum, while any delay in convective activity or thinner cloud decks could allow brief warming toward 32 °C. Model consensus shows limited temperature spread but notable uncertainty tied to precipitation timing, consistent with September climatology of frequent afternoon convection. Updated CWA guidance and numerical model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Taipei on September 3?
Highest temperature in Taipei on September 3?
31°C 31%
30°C 25%
32°C 21%
29°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
10%
30°C
25%
31°C
31%
32°C
21%
33°C
6%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 31%
30°C 25%
32°C 21%
29°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
$25 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$142 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$148 Vol.
1%
28°C
$11 Vol.
4%
29°C
$59 Vol.
10%
30°C
$613 Vol.
25%
31°C
$92 Vol.
31%
32°C
$247 Vol.
21%
33°C
$83 Vol.
6%
34°C
$18 Vol.
4%
35°C or higher
$1 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate a 27–32 °C range for Taipei on September 3, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 30–32 °C amid widespread cloud cover and showers. Persistent easterly flow and a low-pressure system are expected to deliver heavy rainfall and thunderstorms that suppress afternoon solar heating and cap the daily maximum, while any delay in convective activity or thinner cloud decks could allow brief warming toward 32 °C. Model consensus shows limited temperature spread but notable uncertainty tied to precipitation timing, consistent with September climatology of frequent afternoon convection. Updated CWA guidance and numerical model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,439Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate a 27–32 °C range for Taipei on September 3, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 30–32 °C amid widespread cloud cover and showers. Persistent easterly flow and a low-pressure system are expected to deliver heavy rainfall and thunderstorms that suppress afternoon solar heating and cap the daily maximum, while any delay in convective activity or thinner cloud decks could allow brief warming toward 32 °C. Model consensus shows limited temperature spread but notable uncertainty tied to precipitation timing, consistent with September climatology of frequent afternoon convection. Updated CWA guidance and numerical model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,439Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate a 27–32 °C range for Taipei on September 3, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 30–32 °C amid widespread cloud cover and showers. Persistent easterly flow and a low-pressure system are expected to deliver heavy rainfall and thunderstorms that suppress afternoon solar heating and cap the daily maximum, while any delay in convective activity or thinner cloud decks could allow brief warming toward 32 °C. Model consensus shows limited temperature spread but notable uncertainty tied to precipitation timing, consistent with September climatology of frequent afternoon convection. Updated CWA guidance and numerical model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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