Persistent marine layer and onshore flow are suppressing San Francisco highs for September 3, with official forecasts from NWS and models showing mid-60s °F under mostly cloudy skies and 40-50% drizzle or light rain chances—well below the 69.7 °F climatological average. Trader consensus clustering on 68-71 °F bins reflects uncertainty in layer depth and any late-day clearing, while lower outcomes price in stronger cooling if the weak system lingers. Key differentiators include wind direction shifts that could enhance or erode the inversion and timing of any brief sunshine, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded at downtown stations. Updated model runs through September 2 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the event.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 3?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 3?
70-71°F 31%
68-69°F 28%
72-73°F 15%
66-67°F 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
61°F or below
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
28%
70-71°F
31%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 31%
68-69°F 28%
72-73°F 15%
66-67°F 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
61°F or below
$0 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$26 Vol.
5%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
9%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
28%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
31%
72-73°F
$101 Vol.
15%
74-75°F
$407 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$40 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$30 Vol.
1%
80°F or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and onshore flow are suppressing San Francisco highs for September 3, with official forecasts from NWS and models showing mid-60s °F under mostly cloudy skies and 40-50% drizzle or light rain chances—well below the 69.7 °F climatological average. Trader consensus clustering on 68-71 °F bins reflects uncertainty in layer depth and any late-day clearing, while lower outcomes price in stronger cooling if the weak system lingers. Key differentiators include wind direction shifts that could enhance or erode the inversion and timing of any brief sunshine, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded at downtown stations. Updated model runs through September 2 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$610Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and onshore flow are suppressing San Francisco highs for September 3, with official forecasts from NWS and models showing mid-60s °F under mostly cloudy skies and 40-50% drizzle or light rain chances—well below the 69.7 °F climatological average. Trader consensus clustering on 68-71 °F bins reflects uncertainty in layer depth and any late-day clearing, while lower outcomes price in stronger cooling if the weak system lingers. Key differentiators include wind direction shifts that could enhance or erode the inversion and timing of any brief sunshine, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded at downtown stations. Updated model runs through September 2 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$610Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer and onshore flow are suppressing San Francisco highs for September 3, with official forecasts from NWS and models showing mid-60s °F under mostly cloudy skies and 40-50% drizzle or light rain chances—well below the 69.7 °F climatological average. Trader consensus clustering on 68-71 °F bins reflects uncertainty in layer depth and any late-day clearing, while lower outcomes price in stronger cooling if the weak system lingers. Key differentiators include wind direction shifts that could enhance or erode the inversion and timing of any brief sunshine, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded at downtown stations. Updated model runs through September 2 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the event.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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