Current National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate an overnight low near 78°F on September 5 under continued humid conditions with dew points in the mid-70s, light variable winds, and partly cloudy skies following daytime highs in the low 90s. This aligns closely with the market's leading 78-79°F outcome, reflecting persistent late-summer warmth where high moisture content limits radiational cooling. Recent model runs show limited spread, though slight variations in cloud cover or localized showers could nudge the minimum into the 76-77°F range. Historical September lows average around 75°F, but the current pattern of elevated heat indices and suppressed nighttime drops supports trader consensus on the upper-70s bin while assigning secondary probability to cooler outliers only if an unexpected frontal passage develops.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Houston on September 5?
69°F or below 64%
72-73°F 48%
70-71°F 47%
82-83°F 47%
69°F or below
64%
70-71°F
47%
72-73°F
48%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
31%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
47%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
8%
88°F or higher
45%
69°F or below 64%
72-73°F 48%
70-71°F 47%
82-83°F 47%
69°F or below
64%
70-71°F
47%
72-73°F
48%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
31%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
47%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
8%
88°F or higher
45%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate an overnight low near 78°F on September 5 under continued humid conditions with dew points in the mid-70s, light variable winds, and partly cloudy skies following daytime highs in the low 90s. This aligns closely with the market's leading 78-79°F outcome, reflecting persistent late-summer warmth where high moisture content limits radiational cooling. Recent model runs show limited spread, though slight variations in cloud cover or localized showers could nudge the minimum into the 76-77°F range. Historical September lows average around 75°F, but the current pattern of elevated heat indices and suppressed nighttime drops supports trader consensus on the upper-70s bin while assigning secondary probability to cooler outliers only if an unexpected frontal passage develops.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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