Current numerical weather model consensus for Mexico City on September 5 points to overnight lows near 13–14 °C under typical early-September subtropical highland conditions, with persistent moisture, cloud cover from the rainy season, and light winds limiting radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. This baseline, aligned with historical September averages of 12–14 °C, underpins trader positioning around the mid-teens while the 45 % implied probability on 17 °C or higher reflects uncertainty in model runs regarding exact cloud timing and any brief clear-sky windows that could raise minima. Afternoon convection and possible showers may further moderate the diurnal range, with updated forecasts from agencies such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 5?
11°C 49%
16°C 47%
15°C 46%
17°C or higher 45%
BARU
BARU
Sep 5, 2026
7°C or below
-
8°C
13%
9°C
15%
10°C
14%
11°C
49%
12°C
23%
13°C
27%
14°C
29%
15°C
46%
16°C
47%
17°C or higher
45%
11°C 49%
16°C 47%
15°C 46%
17°C or higher 45%
BARU
BARU
Sep 5, 2026
7°C or below
$2 Vol.
-
8°C
$0 Vol.
13%
9°C
$0 Vol.
15%
10°C
$0 Vol.
14%
11°C
$0 Vol.
49%
12°C
$2 Vol.
23%
13°C
$2 Vol.
27%
14°C
$2 Vol.
29%
15°C
$0 Vol.
46%
16°C
$0 Vol.
47%
17°C or higher
$6 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather model consensus for Mexico City on September 5 points to overnight lows near 13–14 °C under typical early-September subtropical highland conditions, with persistent moisture, cloud cover from the rainy season, and light winds limiting radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. This baseline, aligned with historical September averages of 12–14 °C, underpins trader positioning around the mid-teens while the 45 % implied probability on 17 °C or higher reflects uncertainty in model runs regarding exact cloud timing and any brief clear-sky windows that could raise minima. Afternoon convection and possible showers may further moderate the diurnal range, with updated forecasts from agencies such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$14Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather model consensus for Mexico City on September 5 points to overnight lows near 13–14 °C under typical early-September subtropical highland conditions, with persistent moisture, cloud cover from the rainy season, and light winds limiting radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. This baseline, aligned with historical September averages of 12–14 °C, underpins trader positioning around the mid-teens while the 45 % implied probability on 17 °C or higher reflects uncertainty in model runs regarding exact cloud timing and any brief clear-sky windows that could raise minima. Afternoon convection and possible showers may further moderate the diurnal range, with updated forecasts from agencies such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather model consensus for Mexico City on September 5 points to overnight lows near 13–14 °C under typical early-September subtropical highland conditions, with persistent moisture, cloud cover from the rainy season, and light winds limiting radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. This baseline, aligned with historical September averages of 12–14 °C, underpins trader positioning around the mid-teens while the 45 % implied probability on 17 °C or higher reflects uncertainty in model runs regarding exact cloud timing and any brief clear-sky windows that could raise minima. Afternoon convection and possible showers may further moderate the diurnal range, with updated forecasts from agencies such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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