Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate peak afternoon temperatures in Jeddah on September 4 are most likely to reach 37–39°C under persistent sunny skies, light to moderate northwesterly winds, and high humidity typical of the Red Sea coastal climate. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when daytime highs commonly range 36–38°C amid stable high-pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover. Model consensus supports these values, with limited divergence noted so far and no significant cooling or heat-wave signals in the latest runs. Traders appear to price the 38°C outcome highest due to this narrow range and historical precedent, while lower or higher extremes remain discounted absent major forecast shifts ahead of the daily maximum. Updated model outputs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 4?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on September 4?
38°C 42%
37°C 35%
39°C 25%
36°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
31°C or below
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C
3%
36°C
11%
37°C
26%
38°C
42%
39°C
25%
40°C
9%
41°C or higher
6%
38°C 42%
37°C 35%
39°C 25%
36°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
31°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
2%
33°C
$0 Vol.
3%
34°C
$0 Vol.
2%
35°C
$20 Vol.
3%
36°C
$20 Vol.
11%
37°C
$12 Vol.
26%
38°C
$19 Vol.
42%
39°C
$0 Vol.
25%
40°C
$20 Vol.
9%
41°C or higher
$151 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate peak afternoon temperatures in Jeddah on September 4 are most likely to reach 37–39°C under persistent sunny skies, light to moderate northwesterly winds, and high humidity typical of the Red Sea coastal climate. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when daytime highs commonly range 36–38°C amid stable high-pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover. Model consensus supports these values, with limited divergence noted so far and no significant cooling or heat-wave signals in the latest runs. Traders appear to price the 38°C outcome highest due to this narrow range and historical precedent, while lower or higher extremes remain discounted absent major forecast shifts ahead of the daily maximum. Updated model outputs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$242Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate peak afternoon temperatures in Jeddah on September 4 are most likely to reach 37–39°C under persistent sunny skies, light to moderate northwesterly winds, and high humidity typical of the Red Sea coastal climate. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when daytime highs commonly range 36–38°C amid stable high-pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover. Model consensus supports these values, with limited divergence noted so far and no significant cooling or heat-wave signals in the latest runs. Traders appear to price the 38°C outcome highest due to this narrow range and historical precedent, while lower or higher extremes remain discounted absent major forecast shifts ahead of the daily maximum. Updated model outputs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$242Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate peak afternoon temperatures in Jeddah on September 4 are most likely to reach 37–39°C under persistent sunny skies, light to moderate northwesterly winds, and high humidity typical of the Red Sea coastal climate. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when daytime highs commonly range 36–38°C amid stable high-pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover. Model consensus supports these values, with limited divergence noted so far and no significant cooling or heat-wave signals in the latest runs. Traders appear to price the 38°C outcome highest due to this narrow range and historical precedent, while lower or higher extremes remain discounted absent major forecast shifts ahead of the daily maximum. Updated model outputs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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