**Persistent high humidity and elevated dew points are anchoring overnight lows near 80°F in Miami on September 4, 2026, driving the market's heaviest weighting toward the 80-81°F bin (46.5% implied probability).** Official National Weather Service and model guidance consistently forecast lows in the upper 70s to low 80s under a typical late-summer pattern of southeast flow, scattered to numerous thunderstorms, and dew points holding near 78–80°F. These conditions limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared with drier or clearer scenarios. The adjacent 78-79°F outcome holds 28% odds, while 82-83°F sits at 19%, reflecting minor forecast spread in how much any evening convection or cloud cover may moderate the low. Historical September climatology for Miami shows average daily lows near 77°F, but current moisture-laden air mass and lack of a frontal passage support the market's tilt toward the warmer side of that range. Traders are effectively pricing the consensus from NWS, GFS, and other operational runs, which show little day-to-day shift in the core temperature profile as the period remains dominated by tropical moisture and seabreeze-driven storms. No significant model divergence or unexpected cold-air intrusion has emerged to shift the distribution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Miami on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 4?
80-81°F 47%
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 20%
84-85°F 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
73°F or below
8%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
47%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 47%
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 20%
84-85°F 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
73°F or below
$0 Vol.
8%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
8%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
6%
78-79°F
$326 Vol.
28%
80-81°F
$240 Vol.
47%
82-83°F
$171 Vol.
20%
84-85°F
$105 Vol.
10%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
8%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
1%
92°F or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high humidity and elevated dew points are anchoring overnight lows near 80°F in Miami on September 4, 2026, driving the market's heaviest weighting toward the 80-81°F bin (46.5% implied probability).**
Official National Weather Service and model guidance consistently forecast lows in the upper 70s to low 80s under a typical late-summer pattern of southeast flow, scattered to numerous thunderstorms, and dew points holding near 78–80°F. These conditions limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared with drier or clearer scenarios. The adjacent 78-79°F outcome holds 28% odds, while 82-83°F sits at 19%, reflecting minor forecast spread in how much any evening convection or cloud cover may moderate the low.
Historical September climatology for Miami shows average daily lows near 77°F, but current moisture-laden air mass and lack of a frontal passage support the market's tilt toward the warmer side of that range. Traders are effectively pricing the consensus from NWS, GFS, and other operational runs, which show little day-to-day shift in the core temperature profile as the period remains dominated by tropical moisture and seabreeze-driven storms. No significant model divergence or unexpected cold-air intrusion has emerged to shift the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$842Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high humidity and elevated dew points are anchoring overnight lows near 80°F in Miami on September 4, 2026, driving the market's heaviest weighting toward the 80-81°F bin (46.5% implied probability).**
Official National Weather Service and model guidance consistently forecast lows in the upper 70s to low 80s under a typical late-summer pattern of southeast flow, scattered to numerous thunderstorms, and dew points holding near 78–80°F. These conditions limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared with drier or clearer scenarios. The adjacent 78-79°F outcome holds 28% odds, while 82-83°F sits at 19%, reflecting minor forecast spread in how much any evening convection or cloud cover may moderate the low.
Historical September climatology for Miami shows average daily lows near 77°F, but current moisture-laden air mass and lack of a frontal passage support the market's tilt toward the warmer side of that range. Traders are effectively pricing the consensus from NWS, GFS, and other operational runs, which show little day-to-day shift in the core temperature profile as the period remains dominated by tropical moisture and seabreeze-driven storms. No significant model divergence or unexpected cold-air intrusion has emerged to shift the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$842Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent high humidity and elevated dew points are anchoring overnight lows near 80°F in Miami on September 4, 2026, driving the market's heaviest weighting toward the 80-81°F bin (46.5% implied probability).** Official National Weather Service and model guidance consistently forecast lows in the upper 70s to low 80s under a typical late-summer pattern of southeast flow, scattered to numerous thunderstorms, and dew points holding near 78–80°F. These conditions limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared with drier or clearer scenarios. The adjacent 78-79°F outcome holds 28% odds, while 82-83°F sits at 19%, reflecting minor forecast spread in how much any evening convection or cloud cover may moderate the low. Historical September climatology for Miami shows average daily lows near 77°F, but current moisture-laden air mass and lack of a frontal passage support the market's tilt toward the warmer side of that range. Traders are effectively pricing the consensus from NWS, GFS, and other operational runs, which show little day-to-day shift in the core temperature profile as the period remains dominated by tropical moisture and seabreeze-driven storms. No significant model divergence or unexpected cold-air intrusion has emerged to shift the distribution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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