**Persistent cloud cover and a 60% chance of showers on September 2 are capping peak heating in Toronto, producing market-implied odds clustered around 27–29 °C.** Environment Canada forecasts a 28 °C high under mostly cloudy skies with southwesterly flow and scattered thunderstorms, while ensemble guidance from GFS and other models shows afternoon temperatures peaking near 26–30 °C depending on the timing and coverage of convective clouds. Higher outcomes (30–31 °C) require earlier clearing or reduced precipitation, scenarios traders assign lower probability given the current synoptic setup and historical September analogs averaging 24 °C. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution based on Toronto Pearson observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Toronto on September 2?
Highest temperature in Toronto on September 2?
29°C 24%
28°C 21%
30°C 14%
27°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
25°C or below
4%
26°C
5%
27°C
19%
28°C
21%
29°C
24%
30°C
14%
31°C
9%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 24%
28°C 21%
30°C 14%
27°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
25°C or below
$133 Vol.
4%
26°C
$89 Vol.
5%
27°C
$235 Vol.
19%
28°C
$145 Vol.
21%
29°C
$367 Vol.
24%
30°C
$288 Vol.
14%
31°C
$110 Vol.
9%
32°C
$259 Vol.
5%
33°C
$166 Vol.
2%
34°C
$72 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$347 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover and a 60% chance of showers on September 2 are capping peak heating in Toronto, producing market-implied odds clustered around 27–29 °C.** Environment Canada forecasts a 28 °C high under mostly cloudy skies with southwesterly flow and scattered thunderstorms, while ensemble guidance from GFS and other models shows afternoon temperatures peaking near 26–30 °C depending on the timing and coverage of convective clouds. Higher outcomes (30–31 °C) require earlier clearing or reduced precipitation, scenarios traders assign lower probability given the current synoptic setup and historical September analogs averaging 24 °C. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution based on Toronto Pearson observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,211Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover and a 60% chance of showers on September 2 are capping peak heating in Toronto, producing market-implied odds clustered around 27–29 °C.** Environment Canada forecasts a 28 °C high under mostly cloudy skies with southwesterly flow and scattered thunderstorms, while ensemble guidance from GFS and other models shows afternoon temperatures peaking near 26–30 °C depending on the timing and coverage of convective clouds. Higher outcomes (30–31 °C) require earlier clearing or reduced precipitation, scenarios traders assign lower probability given the current synoptic setup and historical September analogs averaging 24 °C. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution based on Toronto Pearson observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,211Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover and a 60% chance of showers on September 2 are capping peak heating in Toronto, producing market-implied odds clustered around 27–29 °C.** Environment Canada forecasts a 28 °C high under mostly cloudy skies with southwesterly flow and scattered thunderstorms, while ensemble guidance from GFS and other models shows afternoon temperatures peaking near 26–30 °C depending on the timing and coverage of convective clouds. Higher outcomes (30–31 °C) require earlier clearing or reduced precipitation, scenarios traders assign lower probability given the current synoptic setup and historical September analogs averaging 24 °C. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution based on Toronto Pearson observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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