A broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea is driving unsettled conditions across Hong Kong on August 31, with official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts calling for mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that should limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum near 30°C. Recent model consensus and climatological patterns for late August support this, as persistent moisture and convective activity often suppress peaks by 2–4°C compared to clearer days. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–30°C because forecasters and traders weigh variable rain timing and intensity, which can shift observed highs by a degree or two; stronger or earlier storms favor the lower end while any afternoon clearing could push toward 31°C. Updated HKO briefings and regional model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 31?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 31?
30°C 33%
29°C 30%
31°C 19%
28°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
14%
29°C
30%
30°C
33%
31°C
19%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 33%
29°C 30%
31°C 19%
28°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
$51 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$47 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$213 Vol.
1%
27°C
$48 Vol.
3%
28°C
$300 Vol.
14%
29°C
$1,246 Vol.
30%
30°C
$183 Vol.
33%
31°C
$340 Vol.
19%
32°C
$57 Vol.
4%
33°C
$32 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$134 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.A broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea is driving unsettled conditions across Hong Kong on August 31, with official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts calling for mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that should limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum near 30°C. Recent model consensus and climatological patterns for late August support this, as persistent moisture and convective activity often suppress peaks by 2–4°C compared to clearer days. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–30°C because forecasters and traders weigh variable rain timing and intensity, which can shift observed highs by a degree or two; stronger or earlier storms favor the lower end while any afternoon clearing could push toward 31°C. Updated HKO briefings and regional model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,649Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.A broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea is driving unsettled conditions across Hong Kong on August 31, with official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts calling for mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that should limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum near 30°C. Recent model consensus and climatological patterns for late August support this, as persistent moisture and convective activity often suppress peaks by 2–4°C compared to clearer days. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–30°C because forecasters and traders weigh variable rain timing and intensity, which can shift observed highs by a degree or two; stronger or earlier storms favor the lower end while any afternoon clearing could push toward 31°C. Updated HKO briefings and regional model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,649Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea is driving unsettled conditions across Hong Kong on August 31, with official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts calling for mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that should limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum near 30°C. Recent model consensus and climatological patterns for late August support this, as persistent moisture and convective activity often suppress peaks by 2–4°C compared to clearer days. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–30°C because forecasters and traders weigh variable rain timing and intensity, which can shift observed highs by a degree or two; stronger or earlier storms favor the lower end while any afternoon clearing could push toward 31°C. Updated HKO briefings and regional model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan