**Forecast consensus from the Met Office and multiple models points to a maximum of 21–23°C on August 31 in London, with 22°C as the most probable single value.** Westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and isolated showers are expected to moderate temperatures near or slightly above the long-term average high of ~21.9°C for the date. Recent model runs show limited spread, with highs clustering around 70–72°F (21–22°C) under these conditions. The market's heavy weighting toward 22°C (46.5%) reflects this tight agreement across official guidance, while the shares for 21°C and 23°C capture residual uncertainty from exact timing of any cloud breaks or showers. Lower probabilities for 24°C or higher align with the absence of strong high pressure or southerly flow that could produce warmer outcomes. Updated forecasts in the next 24–48 hours, particularly from the Met Office, will likely refine these odds as the day approaches.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on August 31?
Highest temperature in London on August 31?
22°C 46%
21°C 25%
23°C 20%
20°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C
25%
22°C
46%
23°C
20%
24°C
6%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 46%
21°C 25%
23°C 20%
20°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
16°C or below
$278 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$178 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$18 Vol.
1%
19°C
$18 Vol.
2%
20°C
$126 Vol.
8%
21°C
$221 Vol.
25%
22°C
$1,229 Vol.
46%
23°C
$591 Vol.
20%
24°C
$99 Vol.
6%
25°C
$65 Vol.
2%
26°C or higher
$75 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the Met Office and multiple models points to a maximum of 21–23°C on August 31 in London, with 22°C as the most probable single value.** Westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and isolated showers are expected to moderate temperatures near or slightly above the long-term average high of ~21.9°C for the date. Recent model runs show limited spread, with highs clustering around 70–72°F (21–22°C) under these conditions.
The market's heavy weighting toward 22°C (46.5%) reflects this tight agreement across official guidance, while the shares for 21°C and 23°C capture residual uncertainty from exact timing of any cloud breaks or showers. Lower probabilities for 24°C or higher align with the absence of strong high pressure or southerly flow that could produce warmer outcomes. Updated forecasts in the next 24–48 hours, particularly from the Met Office, will likely refine these odds as the day approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$2,898Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the Met Office and multiple models points to a maximum of 21–23°C on August 31 in London, with 22°C as the most probable single value.** Westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and isolated showers are expected to moderate temperatures near or slightly above the long-term average high of ~21.9°C for the date. Recent model runs show limited spread, with highs clustering around 70–72°F (21–22°C) under these conditions.
The market's heavy weighting toward 22°C (46.5%) reflects this tight agreement across official guidance, while the shares for 21°C and 23°C capture residual uncertainty from exact timing of any cloud breaks or showers. Lower probabilities for 24°C or higher align with the absence of strong high pressure or southerly flow that could produce warmer outcomes. Updated forecasts in the next 24–48 hours, particularly from the Met Office, will likely refine these odds as the day approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,898Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the Met Office and multiple models points to a maximum of 21–23°C on August 31 in London, with 22°C as the most probable single value.** Westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and isolated showers are expected to moderate temperatures near or slightly above the long-term average high of ~21.9°C for the date. Recent model runs show limited spread, with highs clustering around 70–72°F (21–22°C) under these conditions. The market's heavy weighting toward 22°C (46.5%) reflects this tight agreement across official guidance, while the shares for 21°C and 23°C capture residual uncertainty from exact timing of any cloud breaks or showers. Lower probabilities for 24°C or higher align with the absence of strong high pressure or southerly flow that could produce warmer outcomes. Updated forecasts in the next 24–48 hours, particularly from the Met Office, will likely refine these odds as the day approaches.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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