Seattle's September precipitation averages 1.6 inches historically, with high year-to-year variability driven by the transition from summer dryness to the fall rainy season. Trader consensus favoring sub-1.5 inch totals (over 45% combined probability) reflects the influence of a strengthening El Niño, which recent outlooks link to cooler Northwest temperatures but below-normal coastal precipitation through mid-month. Key differentiating factors include the timing and strength of Pacific moisture influx, jet stream positioning, and early-season atmospheric patterns that can suppress or enhance rainfall accumulation. Model consensus shows potential for light showers early in the month but limited intensification until late September, keeping totals near or below the long-term median unless stronger systems develop.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPrecipitation in Seattle in September?
Precipitation in Seattle in September?
<1" 26%
1-1.5" 20%
1.5-2" 17%
2.5-3" 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 30, 2026
<1"
26%
1-1.5"
20%
1.5-2"
17%
2.5-3"
16%
2-2.5"
14%
3-4"
11%
>4"
7%
<1" 26%
1-1.5" 20%
1.5-2" 17%
2.5-3" 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 30, 2026
<1"
$156 Vol.
26%
1-1.5"
$118 Vol.
20%
1.5-2"
$112 Vol.
17%
2.5-3"
$182 Vol.
16%
2-2.5"
$130 Vol.
14%
3-4"
$203 Vol.
11%
>4"
$203 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Seattle's September precipitation averages 1.6 inches historically, with high year-to-year variability driven by the transition from summer dryness to the fall rainy season. Trader consensus favoring sub-1.5 inch totals (over 45% combined probability) reflects the influence of a strengthening El Niño, which recent outlooks link to cooler Northwest temperatures but below-normal coastal precipitation through mid-month. Key differentiating factors include the timing and strength of Pacific moisture influx, jet stream positioning, and early-season atmospheric patterns that can suppress or enhance rainfall accumulation. Model consensus shows potential for light showers early in the month but limited intensification until late September, keeping totals near or below the long-term median unless stronger systems develop.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 31, 2026, 9:43 AM ET
Volume
$1,104Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 9:43 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Seattle's September precipitation averages 1.6 inches historically, with high year-to-year variability driven by the transition from summer dryness to the fall rainy season. Trader consensus favoring sub-1.5 inch totals (over 45% combined probability) reflects the influence of a strengthening El Niño, which recent outlooks link to cooler Northwest temperatures but below-normal coastal precipitation through mid-month. Key differentiating factors include the timing and strength of Pacific moisture influx, jet stream positioning, and early-season atmospheric patterns that can suppress or enhance rainfall accumulation. Model consensus shows potential for light showers early in the month but limited intensification until late September, keeping totals near or below the long-term median unless stronger systems develop.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,104Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 9:43 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Seattle's September precipitation averages 1.6 inches historically, with high year-to-year variability driven by the transition from summer dryness to the fall rainy season. Trader consensus favoring sub-1.5 inch totals (over 45% combined probability) reflects the influence of a strengthening El Niño, which recent outlooks link to cooler Northwest temperatures but below-normal coastal precipitation through mid-month. Key differentiating factors include the timing and strength of Pacific moisture influx, jet stream positioning, and early-season atmospheric patterns that can suppress or enhance rainfall accumulation. Model consensus shows potential for light showers early in the month but limited intensification until late September, keeping totals near or below the long-term median unless stronger systems develop.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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