Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a clear night with southerly flow and dew points near 70°F will keep the overnight minimum temperature in Dallas around 76–78°F on September 4. Persistent warmth from a strong subtropical ridge, combined with the lingering effects of Tropical Storm Edouard earlier in the week, has suppressed any significant cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading 78–79°F outcome at 40% implied probability. Historical September 4 averages near 74°F and the absence of an approaching cold front reinforce elevated lows, while model consensus shows minimal spread for this short-range period. Traders appear to weigh the high-confidence warm pattern against residual uncertainty in exact clearing timing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Dallas on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on September 4?
69°F or below 55%
88°F or higher 54%
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 29%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
69°F or below
55%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
8%
88°F or higher
54%
69°F or below 55%
88°F or higher 54%
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 29%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
69°F or below
$0 Vol.
55%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
15%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
15%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
19%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
29%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
42%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
19%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
18%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
8%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
8%
88°F or higher
$0 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a clear night with southerly flow and dew points near 70°F will keep the overnight minimum temperature in Dallas around 76–78°F on September 4. Persistent warmth from a strong subtropical ridge, combined with the lingering effects of Tropical Storm Edouard earlier in the week, has suppressed any significant cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading 78–79°F outcome at 40% implied probability. Historical September 4 averages near 74°F and the absence of an approaching cold front reinforce elevated lows, while model consensus shows minimal spread for this short-range period. Traders appear to weigh the high-confidence warm pattern against residual uncertainty in exact clearing timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a clear night with southerly flow and dew points near 70°F will keep the overnight minimum temperature in Dallas around 76–78°F on September 4. Persistent warmth from a strong subtropical ridge, combined with the lingering effects of Tropical Storm Edouard earlier in the week, has suppressed any significant cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading 78–79°F outcome at 40% implied probability. Historical September 4 averages near 74°F and the absence of an approaching cold front reinforce elevated lows, while model consensus shows minimal spread for this short-range period. Traders appear to weigh the high-confidence warm pattern against residual uncertainty in exact clearing timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a clear night with southerly flow and dew points near 70°F will keep the overnight minimum temperature in Dallas around 76–78°F on September 4. Persistent warmth from a strong subtropical ridge, combined with the lingering effects of Tropical Storm Edouard earlier in the week, has suppressed any significant cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading 78–79°F outcome at 40% implied probability. Historical September 4 averages near 74°F and the absence of an approaching cold front reinforce elevated lows, while model consensus shows minimal spread for this short-range period. Traders appear to weigh the high-confidence warm pattern against residual uncertainty in exact clearing timing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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