Current numerical weather models indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C in Panama City on September 4, driven by persistently high humidity (80–90%) and widespread cloud cover during the wet season, which suppress nocturnal radiative cooling and compress the diurnal temperature range. Recent forecasts from international models show minimal day-to-day variability, with light winds and scattered showers further moderating extremes. Historical September minima average around 24°C, but elevated moisture this period supports slightly warmer lows. With market probabilities tightly clustered, traders appear focused on subtle differences in forecast timing of any clearer breaks that could allow brief cooling below 25°C or maintain the higher baseline. Updated model runs and morning observations will provide the final resolution data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Panama City on September 4?
29°C or higher 79%
20°C 65%
19°C or below 53%
21°C 51%
19°C or below
53%
20°C
65%
21°C
51%
22°C
50%
23°C
49%
24°C
28%
25°C
34%
26°C
50%
27°C
41%
28°C
48%
29°C or higher
79%
29°C or higher 79%
20°C 65%
19°C or below 53%
21°C 51%
19°C or below
53%
20°C
65%
21°C
51%
22°C
50%
23°C
49%
24°C
28%
25°C
34%
26°C
50%
27°C
41%
28°C
48%
29°C or higher
79%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C in Panama City on September 4, driven by persistently high humidity (80–90%) and widespread cloud cover during the wet season, which suppress nocturnal radiative cooling and compress the diurnal temperature range. Recent forecasts from international models show minimal day-to-day variability, with light winds and scattered showers further moderating extremes. Historical September minima average around 24°C, but elevated moisture this period supports slightly warmer lows. With market probabilities tightly clustered, traders appear focused on subtle differences in forecast timing of any clearer breaks that could allow brief cooling below 25°C or maintain the higher baseline. Updated model runs and morning observations will provide the final resolution data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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