Recent National Weather Service guidance and short-range models highlight a heat dome advecting warm, humid air northward from the Southeast, sustaining southwest flow and mostly sunny skies that favor strong daytime heating over Chicago on September 2. This setup supports forecast highs of 92–95°F with heat indices near 100°F, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those bins. Normal early-September maxima near 80°F underscore the anomalous warmth, while modest model spread and limited cloud cover or precipitation chances through midday limit upside beyond 96°F. Updated model runs ahead of the event will determine whether the leading 92–93°F outcome holds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chicago on September 2?
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 2?
92-93°F 42%
94-95°F 30%
90-91°F 16%
96-97°F 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
42%
94-95°F
30%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
3%
100-101°F
1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 42%
94-95°F 30%
90-91°F 16%
96-97°F 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
83°F or below
$172 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$229 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$241 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$317 Vol.
4%
90-91°F
$13 Vol.
16%
92-93°F
$62 Vol.
42%
94-95°F
$238 Vol.
30%
96-97°F
$58 Vol.
8%
98-99°F
$194 Vol.
3%
100-101°F
$60 Vol.
1%
102°F or higher
$146 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and short-range models highlight a heat dome advecting warm, humid air northward from the Southeast, sustaining southwest flow and mostly sunny skies that favor strong daytime heating over Chicago on September 2. This setup supports forecast highs of 92–95°F with heat indices near 100°F, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those bins. Normal early-September maxima near 80°F underscore the anomalous warmth, while modest model spread and limited cloud cover or precipitation chances through midday limit upside beyond 96°F. Updated model runs ahead of the event will determine whether the leading 92–93°F outcome holds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,731Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and short-range models highlight a heat dome advecting warm, humid air northward from the Southeast, sustaining southwest flow and mostly sunny skies that favor strong daytime heating over Chicago on September 2. This setup supports forecast highs of 92–95°F with heat indices near 100°F, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those bins. Normal early-September maxima near 80°F underscore the anomalous warmth, while modest model spread and limited cloud cover or precipitation chances through midday limit upside beyond 96°F. Updated model runs ahead of the event will determine whether the leading 92–93°F outcome holds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,731Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and short-range models highlight a heat dome advecting warm, humid air northward from the Southeast, sustaining southwest flow and mostly sunny skies that favor strong daytime heating over Chicago on September 2. This setup supports forecast highs of 92–95°F with heat indices near 100°F, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those bins. Normal early-September maxima near 80°F underscore the anomalous warmth, while modest model spread and limited cloud cover or precipitation chances through midday limit upside beyond 96°F. Updated model runs ahead of the event will determine whether the leading 92–93°F outcome holds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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