Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 50s°F for San Francisco on September 4, driven by persistent onshore flow from the Pacific, a strengthening marine layer, and residual cooling from an early-season storm system that delivered light rain and below-normal temperatures earlier in the week. Clearer skies expected overnight could enhance radiational cooling, while typical September climatology shows average lows near 56°F. Model consensus and current conditions position the 58-59°F and 54-55°F bins as frontrunners, with lower outcomes less likely absent stronger cold-air advection. The final reading will come from official NWS observations at the downtown station, with any last-minute forecast adjustments from updated model runs likely to influence trading before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in San Francisco on September 4?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 4?
58-59°F 57%
47°F or below 44%
66°F or higher 40%
60-61°F 35%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
47°F or below
44%
48-49°F
7%
50-51°F
7%
52-53°F
16%
54-55°F
32%
56-57°F
22%
58-59°F
47%
60-61°F
35%
62-63°F
23%
64-65°F
14%
66°F or higher
40%
58-59°F 57%
47°F or below 44%
66°F or higher 40%
60-61°F 35%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
47°F or below
$0 Vol.
44%
48-49°F
$0 Vol.
7%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
7%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
16%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
32%
56-57°F
$40 Vol.
22%
58-59°F
$39 Vol.
47%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
35%
62-63°F
$15 Vol.
23%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
14%
66°F or higher
$0 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 50s°F for San Francisco on September 4, driven by persistent onshore flow from the Pacific, a strengthening marine layer, and residual cooling from an early-season storm system that delivered light rain and below-normal temperatures earlier in the week. Clearer skies expected overnight could enhance radiational cooling, while typical September climatology shows average lows near 56°F. Model consensus and current conditions position the 58-59°F and 54-55°F bins as frontrunners, with lower outcomes less likely absent stronger cold-air advection. The final reading will come from official NWS observations at the downtown station, with any last-minute forecast adjustments from updated model runs likely to influence trading before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$95Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 50s°F for San Francisco on September 4, driven by persistent onshore flow from the Pacific, a strengthening marine layer, and residual cooling from an early-season storm system that delivered light rain and below-normal temperatures earlier in the week. Clearer skies expected overnight could enhance radiational cooling, while typical September climatology shows average lows near 56°F. Model consensus and current conditions position the 58-59°F and 54-55°F bins as frontrunners, with lower outcomes less likely absent stronger cold-air advection. The final reading will come from official NWS observations at the downtown station, with any last-minute forecast adjustments from updated model runs likely to influence trading before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$95Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 50s°F for San Francisco on September 4, driven by persistent onshore flow from the Pacific, a strengthening marine layer, and residual cooling from an early-season storm system that delivered light rain and below-normal temperatures earlier in the week. Clearer skies expected overnight could enhance radiational cooling, while typical September climatology shows average lows near 56°F. Model consensus and current conditions position the 58-59°F and 54-55°F bins as frontrunners, with lower outcomes less likely absent stronger cold-air advection. The final reading will come from official NWS observations at the downtown station, with any last-minute forecast adjustments from updated model runs likely to influence trading before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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