Recent flash drought expansion across the South-Central U.S., driven by persistent heat and precipitation deficits, has intensified D4 conditions in states including Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, and Mississippi, while localized exceptional drought persists in Idaho, New Mexico, Nebraska, and parts of North Carolina per the September 3 U.S. Drought Monitor. Mixed signals from the National Drought Mitigation Center show degradations along the North Dakota–South Dakota–Minnesota border and in northern New England, offset by improvements in Colorado and Wyoming. With the September 8 map data cutoff imminent, trader equilibrium around 7–9 or 10+ states reflects uncertainty in whether short-term rainfall or continued evapotranspiration will push additional states over the D4 threshold or allow marginal recovery before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHow many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 8, 2026?
How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 8, 2026?
10 or more states 51%
7-9 states 50%
0 states 50%
1-2 states 50%
BARU
BARU
Sep 10, 2026
0 states
50%
1-2 states
50%
3-4 states
50%
5-6 states
50%
7-9 states
50%
10 or more states
51%
10 or more states 51%
7-9 states 50%
0 states 50%
1-2 states 50%
BARU
BARU
Sep 10, 2026
0 states
$0 Vol.
50%
1-2 states
$0 Vol.
50%
3-4 states
$0 Vol.
50%
5-6 states
$0 Vol.
50%
7-9 states
$0 Vol.
50%
10 or more states
$0 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.Recent flash drought expansion across the South-Central U.S., driven by persistent heat and precipitation deficits, has intensified D4 conditions in states including Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, and Mississippi, while localized exceptional drought persists in Idaho, New Mexico, Nebraska, and parts of North Carolina per the September 3 U.S. Drought Monitor. Mixed signals from the National Drought Mitigation Center show degradations along the North Dakota–South Dakota–Minnesota border and in northern New England, offset by improvements in Colorado and Wyoming. With the September 8 map data cutoff imminent, trader equilibrium around 7–9 or 10+ states reflects uncertainty in whether short-term rainfall or continued evapotranspiration will push additional states over the D4 threshold or allow marginal recovery before resolution.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 9:00 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.Recent flash drought expansion across the South-Central U.S., driven by persistent heat and precipitation deficits, has intensified D4 conditions in states including Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, and Mississippi, while localized exceptional drought persists in Idaho, New Mexico, Nebraska, and parts of North Carolina per the September 3 U.S. Drought Monitor. Mixed signals from the National Drought Mitigation Center show degradations along the North Dakota–South Dakota–Minnesota border and in northern New England, offset by improvements in Colorado and Wyoming. With the September 8 map data cutoff imminent, trader equilibrium around 7–9 or 10+ states reflects uncertainty in whether short-term rainfall or continued evapotranspiration will push additional states over the D4 threshold or allow marginal recovery before resolution.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 9:00 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent flash drought expansion across the South-Central U.S., driven by persistent heat and precipitation deficits, has intensified D4 conditions in states including Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, and Mississippi, while localized exceptional drought persists in Idaho, New Mexico, Nebraska, and parts of North Carolina per the September 3 U.S. Drought Monitor. Mixed signals from the National Drought Mitigation Center show degradations along the North Dakota–South Dakota–Minnesota border and in northern New England, offset by improvements in Colorado and Wyoming. With the September 8 map data cutoff imminent, trader equilibrium around 7–9 or 10+ states reflects uncertainty in whether short-term rainfall or continued evapotranspiration will push additional states over the D4 threshold or allow marginal recovery before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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