Recent weather model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicates stable high-pressure conditions over Beijing through early September, supporting mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover on September 4 that favor daytime highs near 32–33 °C. Official and ensemble forecasts cluster tightly around these values, with limited spread due to the absence of incoming cold fronts or significant moisture that could suppress or enhance temperatures. This setup aligns with the market’s tight 32 °C versus 33 °C contest, as small differences in afternoon insolation or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Above-average warmth relative to September climatology reflects the ongoing warm anomaly but remains within typical late-summer variability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on September 4?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 4?
33°C 36%
32°C 30%
34°C 13%
31°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
30%
33°C
36%
34°C
13%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 36%
32°C 30%
34°C 13%
31°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
27°C or below
$81 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$141 Vol.
3%
30°C
$35 Vol.
4%
31°C
$114 Vol.
11%
32°C
$133 Vol.
30%
33°C
$163 Vol.
36%
34°C
$102 Vol.
13%
35°C
$110 Vol.
6%
36°C
$0 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$101 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicates stable high-pressure conditions over Beijing through early September, supporting mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover on September 4 that favor daytime highs near 32–33 °C. Official and ensemble forecasts cluster tightly around these values, with limited spread due to the absence of incoming cold fronts or significant moisture that could suppress or enhance temperatures. This setup aligns with the market’s tight 32 °C versus 33 °C contest, as small differences in afternoon insolation or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Above-average warmth relative to September climatology reflects the ongoing warm anomaly but remains within typical late-summer variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$980Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicates stable high-pressure conditions over Beijing through early September, supporting mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover on September 4 that favor daytime highs near 32–33 °C. Official and ensemble forecasts cluster tightly around these values, with limited spread due to the absence of incoming cold fronts or significant moisture that could suppress or enhance temperatures. This setup aligns with the market’s tight 32 °C versus 33 °C contest, as small differences in afternoon insolation or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Above-average warmth relative to September climatology reflects the ongoing warm anomaly but remains within typical late-summer variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$980Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicates stable high-pressure conditions over Beijing through early September, supporting mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover on September 4 that favor daytime highs near 32–33 °C. Official and ensemble forecasts cluster tightly around these values, with limited spread due to the absence of incoming cold fronts or significant moisture that could suppress or enhance temperatures. This setup aligns with the market’s tight 32 °C versus 33 °C contest, as small differences in afternoon insolation or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Above-average warmth relative to September climatology reflects the ongoing warm anomaly but remains within typical late-summer variability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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