Short-term numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration drive the dispersed market odds, with 28°C leading at 30% amid substantial forecast spread for Guangzhou’s September 4 maximum. Subtropical monsoon influences, variable cloud cover, potential South China Sea moisture advection, and steering patterns from distant tropical systems create the observed uncertainty across outcomes from 23°C or below to 33°C or higher. Ensemble runs show modest agreement near 27–29°C under typical early-September climatology, yet small shifts in precipitation timing or wind could push readings higher or lower. Updated model cycles and official guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine trader consensus as land-based observations approach.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 4?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 4?
28°C 30%
29°C 17%
27°C 15%
30°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
10%
27°C
15%
28°C
30%
29°C
17%
30°C
13%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 30%
29°C 17%
27°C 15%
30°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
$53 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$315 Vol.
1%
25°C
$201 Vol.
5%
26°C
$594 Vol.
10%
27°C
$611 Vol.
15%
28°C
$1,304 Vol.
30%
29°C
$985 Vol.
17%
30°C
$874 Vol.
13%
31°C
$298 Vol.
4%
32°C
$230 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$11 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration drive the dispersed market odds, with 28°C leading at 30% amid substantial forecast spread for Guangzhou’s September 4 maximum. Subtropical monsoon influences, variable cloud cover, potential South China Sea moisture advection, and steering patterns from distant tropical systems create the observed uncertainty across outcomes from 23°C or below to 33°C or higher. Ensemble runs show modest agreement near 27–29°C under typical early-September climatology, yet small shifts in precipitation timing or wind could push readings higher or lower. Updated model cycles and official guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine trader consensus as land-based observations approach.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$5,477Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration drive the dispersed market odds, with 28°C leading at 30% amid substantial forecast spread for Guangzhou’s September 4 maximum. Subtropical monsoon influences, variable cloud cover, potential South China Sea moisture advection, and steering patterns from distant tropical systems create the observed uncertainty across outcomes from 23°C or below to 33°C or higher. Ensemble runs show modest agreement near 27–29°C under typical early-September climatology, yet small shifts in precipitation timing or wind could push readings higher or lower. Updated model cycles and official guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine trader consensus as land-based observations approach.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,477Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration drive the dispersed market odds, with 28°C leading at 30% amid substantial forecast spread for Guangzhou’s September 4 maximum. Subtropical monsoon influences, variable cloud cover, potential South China Sea moisture advection, and steering patterns from distant tropical systems create the observed uncertainty across outcomes from 23°C or below to 33°C or higher. Ensemble runs show modest agreement near 27–29°C under typical early-September climatology, yet small shifts in precipitation timing or wind could push readings higher or lower. Updated model cycles and official guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine trader consensus as land-based observations approach.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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