Current forecast models for Jeddah on September 4 project overnight lows near 29–30°C under stable high pressure, light northerly winds, and elevated humidity from Red Sea moisture, limiting radiative cooling consistent with historical September averages of 27–29°C. This positions 30°C and nearby values as scientifically supported outcomes, yet market-implied odds assign 50% probability to 25°C or below, reflecting trader assessment of potential model underestimation, station-specific microclimate effects at King Abdulaziz International Airport, or subtle recent cooling trends. Upcoming evening observations and refined model runs will clarify whether conditions align with the consensus range or shift toward lower thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 4?
26°C 70%
25°C or below 44%
31°C 37%
27°C 36%
25°C or below
44%
26°C
70%
27°C
36%
28°C
36%
29°C
33%
30°C
37%
31°C
37%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
26°C 70%
25°C or below 44%
31°C 37%
27°C 36%
25°C or below
44%
26°C
70%
27°C
36%
28°C
36%
29°C
33%
30°C
37%
31°C
37%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Jeddah on September 4 project overnight lows near 29–30°C under stable high pressure, light northerly winds, and elevated humidity from Red Sea moisture, limiting radiative cooling consistent with historical September averages of 27–29°C. This positions 30°C and nearby values as scientifically supported outcomes, yet market-implied odds assign 50% probability to 25°C or below, reflecting trader assessment of potential model underestimation, station-specific microclimate effects at King Abdulaziz International Airport, or subtle recent cooling trends. Upcoming evening observations and refined model runs will clarify whether conditions align with the consensus range or shift toward lower thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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