Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by meteorological services indicate a high near 28–29°C in Ankara on September 4 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk, supporting the near-even market-implied odds between those two outcomes. Ankara’s continental climate features rapid daytime warming under high pressure, with peak temperatures typically occurring mid-afternoon; subtle differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can shift the maximum by 1°C. Historical September averages around 27°C provide context, while current stable synoptic patterns and consistent short-range guidance limit upside potential beyond 30°C absent unexpected warming. Updated model runs and official observations closer to the date will refine resolution criteria.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on September 4?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 4?
28°C 43%
29°C 41%
27°C 10%
30°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
10%
28°C
43%
29°C
41%
30°C
9%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 43%
29°C 41%
27°C 10%
30°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
24°C or below
$126 Vol.
1%
25°C
$60 Vol.
2%
26°C
$269 Vol.
2%
27°C
$163 Vol.
10%
28°C
$465 Vol.
43%
29°C
$383 Vol.
41%
30°C
$240 Vol.
9%
31°C
$109 Vol.
3%
32°C
$6 Vol.
1%
33°C
$271 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$277 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by meteorological services indicate a high near 28–29°C in Ankara on September 4 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk, supporting the near-even market-implied odds between those two outcomes. Ankara’s continental climate features rapid daytime warming under high pressure, with peak temperatures typically occurring mid-afternoon; subtle differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can shift the maximum by 1°C. Historical September averages around 27°C provide context, while current stable synoptic patterns and consistent short-range guidance limit upside potential beyond 30°C absent unexpected warming. Updated model runs and official observations closer to the date will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,369Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by meteorological services indicate a high near 28–29°C in Ankara on September 4 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk, supporting the near-even market-implied odds between those two outcomes. Ankara’s continental climate features rapid daytime warming under high pressure, with peak temperatures typically occurring mid-afternoon; subtle differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can shift the maximum by 1°C. Historical September averages around 27°C provide context, while current stable synoptic patterns and consistent short-range guidance limit upside potential beyond 30°C absent unexpected warming. Updated model runs and official observations closer to the date will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,369Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by meteorological services indicate a high near 28–29°C in Ankara on September 4 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk, supporting the near-even market-implied odds between those two outcomes. Ankara’s continental climate features rapid daytime warming under high pressure, with peak temperatures typically occurring mid-afternoon; subtle differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can shift the maximum by 1°C. Historical September averages around 27°C provide context, while current stable synoptic patterns and consistent short-range guidance limit upside potential beyond 30°C absent unexpected warming. Updated model runs and official observations closer to the date will refine resolution criteria.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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