Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a maximum temperature near 30°C for Ankara on September 3, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 59.5% implied probability for that outcome. A stable high-pressure ridge and light northeasterly flow are promoting clear skies and minimal cloud cover, supporting daytime heating close to or slightly above the early-September climatological average of 26–27°C. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and consistent diurnal ranges, with limited variability expected from steering patterns or advection. Updated short-range guidance as of early September 1–2 reinforces this narrow band around 29–31°C, explaining the combined 96.5% probability mass on those three outcomes while leaving slim room for minor revisions from final observational data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on September 3?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 3?
30°C 61%
29°C 20%
31°C 19%
28°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
20%
30°C
61%
31°C
19%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 61%
29°C 20%
31°C 19%
28°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
26°C
$5 Vol.
1%
27°C
$57 Vol.
1%
28°C
$95 Vol.
3%
29°C
$446 Vol.
20%
30°C
$258 Vol.
61%
31°C
$602 Vol.
19%
32°C
$212 Vol.
2%
33°C
$15 Vol.
2%
34°C
$180 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$186 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a maximum temperature near 30°C for Ankara on September 3, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 59.5% implied probability for that outcome. A stable high-pressure ridge and light northeasterly flow are promoting clear skies and minimal cloud cover, supporting daytime heating close to or slightly above the early-September climatological average of 26–27°C. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and consistent diurnal ranges, with limited variability expected from steering patterns or advection. Updated short-range guidance as of early September 1–2 reinforces this narrow band around 29–31°C, explaining the combined 96.5% probability mass on those three outcomes while leaving slim room for minor revisions from final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,060Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a maximum temperature near 30°C for Ankara on September 3, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 59.5% implied probability for that outcome. A stable high-pressure ridge and light northeasterly flow are promoting clear skies and minimal cloud cover, supporting daytime heating close to or slightly above the early-September climatological average of 26–27°C. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and consistent diurnal ranges, with limited variability expected from steering patterns or advection. Updated short-range guidance as of early September 1–2 reinforces this narrow band around 29–31°C, explaining the combined 96.5% probability mass on those three outcomes while leaving slim room for minor revisions from final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,060Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a maximum temperature near 30°C for Ankara on September 3, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 59.5% implied probability for that outcome. A stable high-pressure ridge and light northeasterly flow are promoting clear skies and minimal cloud cover, supporting daytime heating close to or slightly above the early-September climatological average of 26–27°C. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and consistent diurnal ranges, with limited variability expected from steering patterns or advection. Updated short-range guidance as of early September 1–2 reinforces this narrow band around 29–31°C, explaining the combined 96.5% probability mass on those three outcomes while leaving slim room for minor revisions from final observational data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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