Recent ensemble and deterministic model guidance from sources such as GFS points to a daytime maximum near 20–21 °C in Moscow on 4 September under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. Surface pressure near 1010–1013 hPa and dew points in the low teens support modest boundary-layer warming, while variable cloud cover and limited insolation cap further rises. This places the expected peak slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.7 °C. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 20–22 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any brief clearing that could add or subtract 1–2 °C before the daily maximum is recorded. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on September 4?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 4?
21°C 31%
20°C 27%
22°C 26%
18°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
6%
19°C
6%
20°C
27%
21°C
31%
22°C
26%
23°C
5%
24°C
6%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
2%
21°C 31%
20°C 27%
22°C 26%
18°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C
$0 Vol.
6%
19°C
$45 Vol.
6%
20°C
$0 Vol.
27%
21°C
$0 Vol.
31%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$103 Vol.
5%
24°C
$0 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
3%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble and deterministic model guidance from sources such as GFS points to a daytime maximum near 20–21 °C in Moscow on 4 September under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. Surface pressure near 1010–1013 hPa and dew points in the low teens support modest boundary-layer warming, while variable cloud cover and limited insolation cap further rises. This places the expected peak slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.7 °C. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 20–22 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any brief clearing that could add or subtract 1–2 °C before the daily maximum is recorded. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$149Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble and deterministic model guidance from sources such as GFS points to a daytime maximum near 20–21 °C in Moscow on 4 September under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. Surface pressure near 1010–1013 hPa and dew points in the low teens support modest boundary-layer warming, while variable cloud cover and limited insolation cap further rises. This places the expected peak slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.7 °C. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 20–22 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any brief clearing that could add or subtract 1–2 °C before the daily maximum is recorded. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$149Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble and deterministic model guidance from sources such as GFS points to a daytime maximum near 20–21 °C in Moscow on 4 September under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. Surface pressure near 1010–1013 hPa and dew points in the low teens support modest boundary-layer warming, while variable cloud cover and limited insolation cap further rises. This places the expected peak slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.7 °C. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 20–22 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any brief clearing that could add or subtract 1–2 °C before the daily maximum is recorded. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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