Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's September 3 low will likely fall in the 13–15°C range amid a cooling trend after warmer early-September days, with partly cloudy skies, light showers, and moderate westerly winds limiting overnight radiative cooling. This positioning near historical averages creates tight market-implied odds between sub-9°C and 18°C+ thresholds, as traders weigh potential cold-air advection against persistent mild flow. Key variables include evolving model consensus on cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can alter minimum temperatures by several degrees, plus any late updates from official sources ahead of resolution. Historical September lows in Moscow average near 10°C but show high interannual variability driven by synoptic patterns.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Moscow on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 3?
8°C or below 99%
18°C or higher 98%
9°C 26%
10°C 26%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
8°C or below
99%
9°C
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
25%
16°C
26%
17°C
8%
18°C or higher
98%
8°C or below 99%
18°C or higher 98%
9°C 26%
10°C 26%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
8°C or below
$5 Vol.
99%
9°C
$0 Vol.
26%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$5 Vol.
25%
16°C
$4 Vol.
26%
17°C
$5 Vol.
8%
18°C or higher
$5 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's September 3 low will likely fall in the 13–15°C range amid a cooling trend after warmer early-September days, with partly cloudy skies, light showers, and moderate westerly winds limiting overnight radiative cooling. This positioning near historical averages creates tight market-implied odds between sub-9°C and 18°C+ thresholds, as traders weigh potential cold-air advection against persistent mild flow. Key variables include evolving model consensus on cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can alter minimum temperatures by several degrees, plus any late updates from official sources ahead of resolution. Historical September lows in Moscow average near 10°C but show high interannual variability driven by synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$24Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's September 3 low will likely fall in the 13–15°C range amid a cooling trend after warmer early-September days, with partly cloudy skies, light showers, and moderate westerly winds limiting overnight radiative cooling. This positioning near historical averages creates tight market-implied odds between sub-9°C and 18°C+ thresholds, as traders weigh potential cold-air advection against persistent mild flow. Key variables include evolving model consensus on cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can alter minimum temperatures by several degrees, plus any late updates from official sources ahead of resolution. Historical September lows in Moscow average near 10°C but show high interannual variability driven by synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's September 3 low will likely fall in the 13–15°C range amid a cooling trend after warmer early-September days, with partly cloudy skies, light showers, and moderate westerly winds limiting overnight radiative cooling. This positioning near historical averages creates tight market-implied odds between sub-9°C and 18°C+ thresholds, as traders weigh potential cold-air advection against persistent mild flow. Key variables include evolving model consensus on cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can alter minimum temperatures by several degrees, plus any late updates from official sources ahead of resolution. Historical September lows in Moscow average near 10°C but show high interannual variability driven by synoptic patterns.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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