Recent National Weather Service and model guidance, including GFS runs, indicate a northeast flow will keep New York City highs in the mid-70s on September 6, driving the market's concentration on the 74–77°F bins. Cooler maritime air and partly to mostly sunny conditions are expected to suppress temperatures below the late-summer climatological average of roughly 79–80°F, with overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s limiting daytime recovery. Model consensus remains tight, though minor shifts in wind direction or cloud cover could nudge readings toward the 78°F threshold. Traders appear to weigh these official forecasts heavily, as the implied probabilities align closely with the latest guidance ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on September 6?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 6?
76-77°F 41%
74-75°F 29%
78-79°F 21%
72-73°F 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
41%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
2%
84°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 41%
74-75°F 29%
78-79°F 21%
72-73°F 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
65°F or below
$45 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$42 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$67 Vol.
3%
72-73°F
$521 Vol.
6%
74-75°F
$393 Vol.
29%
76-77°F
$527 Vol.
41%
78-79°F
$891 Vol.
21%
80-81°F
$93 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$17 Vol.
2%
84°F or higher
$121 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance, including GFS runs, indicate a northeast flow will keep New York City highs in the mid-70s on September 6, driving the market's concentration on the 74–77°F bins. Cooler maritime air and partly to mostly sunny conditions are expected to suppress temperatures below the late-summer climatological average of roughly 79–80°F, with overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s limiting daytime recovery. Model consensus remains tight, though minor shifts in wind direction or cloud cover could nudge readings toward the 78°F threshold. Traders appear to weigh these official forecasts heavily, as the implied probabilities align closely with the latest guidance ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volume
$2,635Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 3:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance, including GFS runs, indicate a northeast flow will keep New York City highs in the mid-70s on September 6, driving the market's concentration on the 74–77°F bins. Cooler maritime air and partly to mostly sunny conditions are expected to suppress temperatures below the late-summer climatological average of roughly 79–80°F, with overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s limiting daytime recovery. Model consensus remains tight, though minor shifts in wind direction or cloud cover could nudge readings toward the 78°F threshold. Traders appear to weigh these official forecasts heavily, as the implied probabilities align closely with the latest guidance ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,635Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 3:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance, including GFS runs, indicate a northeast flow will keep New York City highs in the mid-70s on September 6, driving the market's concentration on the 74–77°F bins. Cooler maritime air and partly to mostly sunny conditions are expected to suppress temperatures below the late-summer climatological average of roughly 79–80°F, with overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s limiting daytime recovery. Model consensus remains tight, though minor shifts in wind direction or cloud cover could nudge readings toward the 78°F threshold. Traders appear to weigh these official forecasts heavily, as the implied probabilities align closely with the latest guidance ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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