Recent ensemble forecasts from multiple models place Qingdao’s September 7 maximum near 26–28 °C under clear skies and light northerly flow, with sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea capping further warming. Coastal stations typically record 1–3 °C lower peaks than inland analogs during early September, when climatological highs average 26 °C. Trader emphasis on 29–31 °C outcomes appears driven by small ensemble spreads showing possible stronger subsidence or delayed marine influence, while lower-probability cooler bins reflect the risk of earlier cloud build-up or stronger onshore winds. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated high-resolution runs expected within 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 7?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 7?
30°C 26%
31°C 22%
32°C 22%
29°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Sep 7, 2026
24°C or below
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
13%
29°C
18%
30°C
26%
31°C
22%
32°C
22%
33°C
11%
34°C or higher
8%
30°C 26%
31°C 22%
32°C 22%
29°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Sep 7, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
25°C
$0 Vol.
3%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C
$0 Vol.
13%
29°C
$0 Vol.
18%
30°C
$0 Vol.
26%
31°C
$0 Vol.
22%
32°C
$0 Vol.
22%
33°C
$0 Vol.
11%
34°C or higher
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from multiple models place Qingdao’s September 7 maximum near 26–28 °C under clear skies and light northerly flow, with sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea capping further warming. Coastal stations typically record 1–3 °C lower peaks than inland analogs during early September, when climatological highs average 26 °C. Trader emphasis on 29–31 °C outcomes appears driven by small ensemble spreads showing possible stronger subsidence or delayed marine influence, while lower-probability cooler bins reflect the risk of earlier cloud build-up or stronger onshore winds. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated high-resolution runs expected within 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from multiple models place Qingdao’s September 7 maximum near 26–28 °C under clear skies and light northerly flow, with sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea capping further warming. Coastal stations typically record 1–3 °C lower peaks than inland analogs during early September, when climatological highs average 26 °C. Trader emphasis on 29–31 °C outcomes appears driven by small ensemble spreads showing possible stronger subsidence or delayed marine influence, while lower-probability cooler bins reflect the risk of earlier cloud build-up or stronger onshore winds. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated high-resolution runs expected within 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from multiple models place Qingdao’s September 7 maximum near 26–28 °C under clear skies and light northerly flow, with sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea capping further warming. Coastal stations typically record 1–3 °C lower peaks than inland analogs during early September, when climatological highs average 26 °C. Trader emphasis on 29–31 °C outcomes appears driven by small ensemble spreads showing possible stronger subsidence or delayed marine influence, while lower-probability cooler bins reflect the risk of earlier cloud build-up or stronger onshore winds. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated high-resolution runs expected within 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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