Latest forecast guidance from agencies like MetService points to a maximum of 13–15°C in Wellington on September 5 under persistent strong northwesterlies associated with El Niño-driven westerly flow. These winds advect milder maritime air while enhancing mixing that can suppress peak daytime heating, though reduced cloud cover in some model runs allows modest solar warming. The near-even split between 15°C and 16°C market-implied odds reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer details—minor differences in timing of any frontal passage, exact wind gust strength, or low-level moisture can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical September maxima average near 14°C, but current patterns favor slightly elevated values; updated high-resolution model outputs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on September 5?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 5?
15°C 46%
16°C 45%
17°C 7%
14°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 5, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
6%
15°C
46%
16°C
45%
17°C
7%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 46%
16°C 45%
17°C 7%
14°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 5, 2026
10°C or below
$115 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$353 Vol.
1%
12°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$122 Vol.
2%
14°C
$174 Vol.
6%
15°C
$605 Vol.
46%
16°C
$1,517 Vol.
45%
17°C
$173 Vol.
7%
18°C
$110 Vol.
3%
19°C
$167 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$231 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from agencies like MetService points to a maximum of 13–15°C in Wellington on September 5 under persistent strong northwesterlies associated with El Niño-driven westerly flow. These winds advect milder maritime air while enhancing mixing that can suppress peak daytime heating, though reduced cloud cover in some model runs allows modest solar warming. The near-even split between 15°C and 16°C market-implied odds reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer details—minor differences in timing of any frontal passage, exact wind gust strength, or low-level moisture can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical September maxima average near 14°C, but current patterns favor slightly elevated values; updated high-resolution model outputs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,716Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from agencies like MetService points to a maximum of 13–15°C in Wellington on September 5 under persistent strong northwesterlies associated with El Niño-driven westerly flow. These winds advect milder maritime air while enhancing mixing that can suppress peak daytime heating, though reduced cloud cover in some model runs allows modest solar warming. The near-even split between 15°C and 16°C market-implied odds reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer details—minor differences in timing of any frontal passage, exact wind gust strength, or low-level moisture can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical September maxima average near 14°C, but current patterns favor slightly elevated values; updated high-resolution model outputs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,716Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from agencies like MetService points to a maximum of 13–15°C in Wellington on September 5 under persistent strong northwesterlies associated with El Niño-driven westerly flow. These winds advect milder maritime air while enhancing mixing that can suppress peak daytime heating, though reduced cloud cover in some model runs allows modest solar warming. The near-even split between 15°C and 16°C market-implied odds reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer details—minor differences in timing of any frontal passage, exact wind gust strength, or low-level moisture can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical September maxima average near 14°C, but current patterns favor slightly elevated values; updated high-resolution model outputs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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