Recent forecast consensus from models points to a daytime high near 24°C in Munich on September 6, driven by clearing skies and light northeasterly flow behind a frontal passage on the 5th. Mostly sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover and dew points in the low teens Celsius should allow efficient daytime heating, though the seasonal average high of 21.2°C and stable high pressure limit significant warming. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 24°C, with 23°C and 25°C as close alternatives, reflecting typical ensemble spread in short-range guidance. Official maximum temperature readings from Munich stations will resolve the market by evening, with any late-day model adjustments potentially shifting outcomes within a narrow range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on September 6?
24°C 51%
25°C 20%
23°C 19%
22°C 4%
$27,642 Vol.
$27,642 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
19%
24°C
51%
25°C
20%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
2%
24°C 51%
25°C 20%
23°C 19%
22°C 4%
$27,642 Vol.
$27,642 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
19%
24°C
51%
25°C
20%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models points to a daytime high near 24°C in Munich on September 6, driven by clearing skies and light northeasterly flow behind a frontal passage on the 5th. Mostly sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover and dew points in the low teens Celsius should allow efficient daytime heating, though the seasonal average high of 21.2°C and stable high pressure limit significant warming. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 24°C, with 23°C and 25°C as close alternatives, reflecting typical ensemble spread in short-range guidance. Official maximum temperature readings from Munich stations will resolve the market by evening, with any late-day model adjustments potentially shifting outcomes within a narrow range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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