Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate clear skies and light winds overnight into September 6, supporting radiational cooling and minimum temperatures in the 11–13 °C range under typical early-September climatology. Minor differences in forecast dew points and boundary-layer mixing across ensemble runs create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–11 °C, with traders weighing historical variability in Munich’s September minima against current model consensus. Official DWD station observations at the end of the calendar day will determine the exact lowest reading for market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Munich on September 6?
8°C 27%
10°C 26%
9°C 26%
11°C 24%
5°C or below
17%
6°C
15%
7°C
14%
8°C
27%
9°C
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
24%
12°C
15%
13°C
2%
14°C
14%
15°C or higher
15%
8°C 27%
10°C 26%
9°C 26%
11°C 24%
5°C or below
17%
6°C
15%
7°C
14%
8°C
27%
9°C
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
24%
12°C
15%
13°C
2%
14°C
14%
15°C or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate clear skies and light winds overnight into September 6, supporting radiational cooling and minimum temperatures in the 11–13 °C range under typical early-September climatology. Minor differences in forecast dew points and boundary-layer mixing across ensemble runs create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–11 °C, with traders weighing historical variability in Munich’s September minima against current model consensus. Official DWD station observations at the end of the calendar day will determine the exact lowest reading for market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan