**Trader consensus centers on 30–31°C highs for Shenzhen on September 5, reflecting short-range model guidance showing a warm, humid subtropical air mass over the Pearl River Delta with modest daytime heating potential.** Recent forecasts from multiple sources consistently indicate afternoon highs near 30°C amid scattered thunderstorms or convective showers, which can limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, but current patterns—residual moisture from recent tropical activity and a monsoon-influenced trough—introduce uncertainty in exact maxima. Afternoon convection timing is the key variable: earlier or stronger storms favor the lower end of the range, while clearer intervals allow brief warming toward 31°C or slightly above. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the event approaches.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 5?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 5?
31°C 33%
30°C 26%
29°C 14%
32°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Sep 5, 2026
23°C or below
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
11%
29°C
14%
30°C
26%
31°C
33%
32°C
13%
33°C or higher
11%
31°C 33%
30°C 26%
29°C 14%
32°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Sep 5, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
4%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$4 Vol.
4%
28°C
$22 Vol.
11%
29°C
$24 Vol.
14%
30°C
$0 Vol.
26%
31°C
$18 Vol.
33%
32°C
$0 Vol.
13%
33°C or higher
$11 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 30–31°C highs for Shenzhen on September 5, reflecting short-range model guidance showing a warm, humid subtropical air mass over the Pearl River Delta with modest daytime heating potential.** Recent forecasts from multiple sources consistently indicate afternoon highs near 30°C amid scattered thunderstorms or convective showers, which can limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, but current patterns—residual moisture from recent tropical activity and a monsoon-influenced trough—introduce uncertainty in exact maxima. Afternoon convection timing is the key variable: earlier or stronger storms favor the lower end of the range, while clearer intervals allow brief warming toward 31°C or slightly above. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$78Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 30–31°C highs for Shenzhen on September 5, reflecting short-range model guidance showing a warm, humid subtropical air mass over the Pearl River Delta with modest daytime heating potential.** Recent forecasts from multiple sources consistently indicate afternoon highs near 30°C amid scattered thunderstorms or convective showers, which can limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, but current patterns—residual moisture from recent tropical activity and a monsoon-influenced trough—introduce uncertainty in exact maxima. Afternoon convection timing is the key variable: earlier or stronger storms favor the lower end of the range, while clearer intervals allow brief warming toward 31°C or slightly above. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$78Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 30–31°C highs for Shenzhen on September 5, reflecting short-range model guidance showing a warm, humid subtropical air mass over the Pearl River Delta with modest daytime heating potential.** Recent forecasts from multiple sources consistently indicate afternoon highs near 30°C amid scattered thunderstorms or convective showers, which can limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, but current patterns—residual moisture from recent tropical activity and a monsoon-influenced trough—introduce uncertainty in exact maxima. Afternoon convection timing is the key variable: earlier or stronger storms favor the lower end of the range, while clearer intervals allow brief warming toward 31°C or slightly above. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the event approaches.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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