Recent forecasts from multiple models position a daily maximum near 34°C as the most probable outcome for Kuala Lumpur on September 5, aligning with the 59% market-implied probability for that threshold. Typical early-September conditions feature mean highs of 32–33°C, elevated humidity near 70–80%, and light steering winds that limit extreme heating despite urban heat-island effects. Current runs show modest daytime warming potential from reduced cloud cover and light southerly flow, yet afternoon convection and possible haze from regional biomass burning may cap peaks around 34–35°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with lower probabilities assigned to 33°C or below given the absence of strong cooling mechanisms and to 36°C-plus given historical September maxima rarely exceeding 35–36°C in official records. Updated model guidance and official Malaysian observations on the day will determine final resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 5?
34°C 59%
35°C 27%
33°C 14%
32°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
14%
34°C
59%
35°C
27%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 59%
35°C 27%
33°C 14%
32°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
14%
34°C
59%
35°C
27%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models position a daily maximum near 34°C as the most probable outcome for Kuala Lumpur on September 5, aligning with the 59% market-implied probability for that threshold. Typical early-September conditions feature mean highs of 32–33°C, elevated humidity near 70–80%, and light steering winds that limit extreme heating despite urban heat-island effects. Current runs show modest daytime warming potential from reduced cloud cover and light southerly flow, yet afternoon convection and possible haze from regional biomass burning may cap peaks around 34–35°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with lower probabilities assigned to 33°C or below given the absence of strong cooling mechanisms and to 36°C-plus given historical September maxima rarely exceeding 35–36°C in official records. Updated model guidance and official Malaysian observations on the day will determine final resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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