Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and major models indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers on September 6, limiting solar heating and capping the daily maximum near 30–31°C. Light southerly to southwesterly winds and high humidity (70–95%) favor convective cloud development rather than clear-sky warming, consistent with typical early-September monsoon influences. Recent model runs show minor divergence on shower timing and cloud breaks; stronger afternoon clearing could push readings to 31°C, while persistent cover favors 30°C. These conditions align with historical September averages around 30–31°C and explain the tight market clustering between those two outcomes. Updated HKO guidance and afternoon observations will refine the exact peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?
31°C 38%
30°C 30%
32°C 15%
29°C 14%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
14%
30°C
30%
31°C
38%
32°C
15%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
30°C 30%
32°C 15%
29°C 14%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
14%
30°C
30%
31°C
38%
32°C
15%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and major models indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers on September 6, limiting solar heating and capping the daily maximum near 30–31°C. Light southerly to southwesterly winds and high humidity (70–95%) favor convective cloud development rather than clear-sky warming, consistent with typical early-September monsoon influences. Recent model runs show minor divergence on shower timing and cloud breaks; stronger afternoon clearing could push readings to 31°C, while persistent cover favors 30°C. These conditions align with historical September averages around 30–31°C and explain the tight market clustering between those two outcomes. Updated HKO guidance and afternoon observations will refine the exact peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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