Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus point to overnight lows near 26–27°C on September 6 amid persistent cloud cover, light southerly to southwesterly winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Typical early-September climatology for the region shows minimum temperatures clustered around this range under similar monsoon-influenced conditions with high humidity and dew points near 25°C. Multiple forecasts, including those incorporating ECMWF and local adjustments, converge on this narrow band, with limited downside risk from stronger cooling or upside from clearer skies. Traders appear to weigh the official 27–31°C daily range and recent station observations (overnight readings holding above 25°C) most heavily, producing tight implied probabilities around the 26–27°C outcomes ahead of final verification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?
27°C 51%
26°C 38%
25°C 8%
28°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
38%
27°C
51%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 51%
26°C 38%
25°C 8%
28°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
1%
25°C
$346 Vol.
8%
26°C
$368 Vol.
38%
27°C
$804 Vol.
51%
28°C
$198 Vol.
7%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus point to overnight lows near 26–27°C on September 6 amid persistent cloud cover, light southerly to southwesterly winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Typical early-September climatology for the region shows minimum temperatures clustered around this range under similar monsoon-influenced conditions with high humidity and dew points near 25°C. Multiple forecasts, including those incorporating ECMWF and local adjustments, converge on this narrow band, with limited downside risk from stronger cooling or upside from clearer skies. Traders appear to weigh the official 27–31°C daily range and recent station observations (overnight readings holding above 25°C) most heavily, producing tight implied probabilities around the 26–27°C outcomes ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,716Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus point to overnight lows near 26–27°C on September 6 amid persistent cloud cover, light southerly to southwesterly winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Typical early-September climatology for the region shows minimum temperatures clustered around this range under similar monsoon-influenced conditions with high humidity and dew points near 25°C. Multiple forecasts, including those incorporating ECMWF and local adjustments, converge on this narrow band, with limited downside risk from stronger cooling or upside from clearer skies. Traders appear to weigh the official 27–31°C daily range and recent station observations (overnight readings holding above 25°C) most heavily, producing tight implied probabilities around the 26–27°C outcomes ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,716Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus point to overnight lows near 26–27°C on September 6 amid persistent cloud cover, light southerly to southwesterly winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Typical early-September climatology for the region shows minimum temperatures clustered around this range under similar monsoon-influenced conditions with high humidity and dew points near 25°C. Multiple forecasts, including those incorporating ECMWF and local adjustments, converge on this narrow band, with limited downside risk from stronger cooling or upside from clearer skies. Traders appear to weigh the official 27–31°C daily range and recent station observations (overnight readings holding above 25°C) most heavily, producing tight implied probabilities around the 26–27°C outcomes ahead of final verification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan