Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a southerly wind shift and frontal passage over Wellington on September 7, replacing mild northwesterlies with cooler southeasterly flow and widespread rain. This setup favors daytime maxima near 10–13 °C, consistent with the market’s concentration around 12–14 °C. Key variables include the exact timing of the front—earlier arrival would suppress the peak further—cloud cover and rainfall intensity, which reduce insolation, and localized sheltering effects in the harbor basin. Historical September baselines of 13–14 °C provide context, yet current ensemble guidance shows limited upside potential above 15 °C and non-negligible downside risk below 11 °C, sustaining the observed probability spread.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on September 7?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 7?
13°C 32%
12°C 21%
11°C 17%
14°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 7, 2026
9°C or below
3%
10°C
4%
11°C
17%
12°C
21%
13°C
32%
14°C
16%
15°C
10%
16°C
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
3%
13°C 32%
12°C 21%
11°C 17%
14°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 7, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
10°C
$0 Vol.
4%
11°C
$0 Vol.
17%
12°C
$0 Vol.
21%
13°C
$180 Vol.
32%
14°C
$350 Vol.
16%
15°C
$75 Vol.
10%
16°C
$0 Vol.
4%
17°C
$0 Vol.
4%
18°C
$5 Vol.
3%
19°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a southerly wind shift and frontal passage over Wellington on September 7, replacing mild northwesterlies with cooler southeasterly flow and widespread rain. This setup favors daytime maxima near 10–13 °C, consistent with the market’s concentration around 12–14 °C. Key variables include the exact timing of the front—earlier arrival would suppress the peak further—cloud cover and rainfall intensity, which reduce insolation, and localized sheltering effects in the harbor basin. Historical September baselines of 13–14 °C provide context, yet current ensemble guidance shows limited upside potential above 15 °C and non-negligible downside risk below 11 °C, sustaining the observed probability spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$610Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a southerly wind shift and frontal passage over Wellington on September 7, replacing mild northwesterlies with cooler southeasterly flow and widespread rain. This setup favors daytime maxima near 10–13 °C, consistent with the market’s concentration around 12–14 °C. Key variables include the exact timing of the front—earlier arrival would suppress the peak further—cloud cover and rainfall intensity, which reduce insolation, and localized sheltering effects in the harbor basin. Historical September baselines of 13–14 °C provide context, yet current ensemble guidance shows limited upside potential above 15 °C and non-negligible downside risk below 11 °C, sustaining the observed probability spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$610Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a southerly wind shift and frontal passage over Wellington on September 7, replacing mild northwesterlies with cooler southeasterly flow and widespread rain. This setup favors daytime maxima near 10–13 °C, consistent with the market’s concentration around 12–14 °C. Key variables include the exact timing of the front—earlier arrival would suppress the peak further—cloud cover and rainfall intensity, which reduce insolation, and localized sheltering effects in the harbor basin. Historical September baselines of 13–14 °C provide context, yet current ensemble guidance shows limited upside potential above 15 °C and non-negligible downside risk below 11 °C, sustaining the observed probability spread.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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