Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate stable high-pressure dominance over the Korean Peninsula, promoting clear skies and light northeasterly winds that favor strong daytime solar heating in the Seoul-Incheon region. With minimal cloud cover and low precipitation odds through September 6, maximum temperatures are expected to reach the upper 20s °C, aligning with early-September climatology modified by lingering warm advection. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 29–30 °C outcomes because ensemble runs show tight clustering around these values, with small differences arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and exact timing of any diurnal peak. Updated model guidance and official KMA briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these distinctions ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 6?
29°C 45%
30°C 36%
28°C 14%
31°C 6%
$17,672 Vol.
$17,672 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
14%
29°C
45%
30°C
36%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 45%
30°C 36%
28°C 14%
31°C 6%
$17,672 Vol.
$17,672 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
14%
29°C
45%
30°C
36%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate stable high-pressure dominance over the Korean Peninsula, promoting clear skies and light northeasterly winds that favor strong daytime solar heating in the Seoul-Incheon region. With minimal cloud cover and low precipitation odds through September 6, maximum temperatures are expected to reach the upper 20s °C, aligning with early-September climatology modified by lingering warm advection. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 29–30 °C outcomes because ensemble runs show tight clustering around these values, with small differences arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and exact timing of any diurnal peak. Updated model guidance and official KMA briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these distinctions ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan