Forecast models from multiple sources project a daily high of 29–30°C in Shanghai on September 6, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain chances around 40%, and moderate northeast winds that limit solar heating. These conditions align with early-September climatology, where average highs hover near 27°C but can reach the upper 20s amid lingering moisture. The market-implied odds heavily favor 30°C (50.5%) and 29°C (26.0%), reflecting trader consensus on the narrow range expected before any overnight model updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration. Higher outcomes above 31°C remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern and lack of clear-sky intensification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 6?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 6?
30°C 51%
29°C 27%
31°C 15%
28°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
27%
30°C
51%
31°C
15%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 51%
29°C 27%
31°C 15%
28°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
$231 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$133 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$941 Vol.
2%
28°C
$1,506 Vol.
4%
29°C
$568 Vol.
27%
30°C
$1,028 Vol.
51%
31°C
$949 Vol.
15%
32°C
$487 Vol.
2%
33°C
$191 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$176 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$229 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources project a daily high of 29–30°C in Shanghai on September 6, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain chances around 40%, and moderate northeast winds that limit solar heating. These conditions align with early-September climatology, where average highs hover near 27°C but can reach the upper 20s amid lingering moisture. The market-implied odds heavily favor 30°C (50.5%) and 29°C (26.0%), reflecting trader consensus on the narrow range expected before any overnight model updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration. Higher outcomes above 31°C remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern and lack of clear-sky intensification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,440Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources project a daily high of 29–30°C in Shanghai on September 6, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain chances around 40%, and moderate northeast winds that limit solar heating. These conditions align with early-September climatology, where average highs hover near 27°C but can reach the upper 20s amid lingering moisture. The market-implied odds heavily favor 30°C (50.5%) and 29°C (26.0%), reflecting trader consensus on the narrow range expected before any overnight model updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration. Higher outcomes above 31°C remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern and lack of clear-sky intensification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,440Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources project a daily high of 29–30°C in Shanghai on September 6, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain chances around 40%, and moderate northeast winds that limit solar heating. These conditions align with early-September climatology, where average highs hover near 27°C but can reach the upper 20s amid lingering moisture. The market-implied odds heavily favor 30°C (50.5%) and 29°C (26.0%), reflecting trader consensus on the narrow range expected before any overnight model updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration. Higher outcomes above 31°C remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern and lack of clear-sky intensification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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