Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a minimum temperature of 25–26°C for Shanghai on September 5, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, elevated humidity near 75–85%, and light rain or drizzle that limits overnight radiative cooling. This positions 26°C as the market leader at 47.5% implied probability, with 27°C at 25% reflecting slight upside potential if cloud cover thins. Historical September baselines and current model runs show minimal deviation, keeping lower outcomes like 25°C at 19% and extremes below 10% probability. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine these ranges as steering patterns and precipitation timing evolve.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 5?
26°C 48%
27°C 25%
25°C 19%
24°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 5, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
19%
26°C
48%
27°C
25%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 48%
27°C 25%
25°C 19%
24°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 5, 2026
21°C or below
$155 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$82 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$261 Vol.
5%
25°C
$342 Vol.
19%
26°C
$1,031 Vol.
48%
27°C
$471 Vol.
25%
28°C
$82 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$75 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$75 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$165 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a minimum temperature of 25–26°C for Shanghai on September 5, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, elevated humidity near 75–85%, and light rain or drizzle that limits overnight radiative cooling. This positions 26°C as the market leader at 47.5% implied probability, with 27°C at 25% reflecting slight upside potential if cloud cover thins. Historical September baselines and current model runs show minimal deviation, keeping lower outcomes like 25°C at 19% and extremes below 10% probability. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine these ranges as steering patterns and precipitation timing evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,896Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a minimum temperature of 25–26°C for Shanghai on September 5, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, elevated humidity near 75–85%, and light rain or drizzle that limits overnight radiative cooling. This positions 26°C as the market leader at 47.5% implied probability, with 27°C at 25% reflecting slight upside potential if cloud cover thins. Historical September baselines and current model runs show minimal deviation, keeping lower outcomes like 25°C at 19% and extremes below 10% probability. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine these ranges as steering patterns and precipitation timing evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,896Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a minimum temperature of 25–26°C for Shanghai on September 5, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, elevated humidity near 75–85%, and light rain or drizzle that limits overnight radiative cooling. This positions 26°C as the market leader at 47.5% implied probability, with 27°C at 25% reflecting slight upside potential if cloud cover thins. Historical September baselines and current model runs show minimal deviation, keeping lower outcomes like 25°C at 19% and extremes below 10% probability. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine these ranges as steering patterns and precipitation timing evolve.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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