Recent forecasts from multiple numerical weather models indicate overnight lows in Shanghai on September 4 clustered near 25–27°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and northeasterly winds advecting moist air that limits radiative cooling. High humidity levels above 80% and dew points near 24°C further suppress temperature drops overnight. This setup aligns with early September climatology featuring residual monsoon influences and frontal activity, producing trader consensus around the 26–27°C outcomes. Minor model spread in precipitation timing introduces limited uncertainty for exact minimum values, with resolution hinging on official observational data from Shanghai stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 4?
27°C 53%
26°C 36%
25°C 8%
24°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
8%
26°C
36%
27°C
53%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 53%
26°C 36%
25°C 8%
24°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
21°C or below
$141 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$141 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$30 Vol.
1%
24°C
$189 Vol.
4%
25°C
$237 Vol.
8%
26°C
$386 Vol.
36%
27°C
$882 Vol.
53%
28°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$151 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple numerical weather models indicate overnight lows in Shanghai on September 4 clustered near 25–27°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and northeasterly winds advecting moist air that limits radiative cooling. High humidity levels above 80% and dew points near 24°C further suppress temperature drops overnight. This setup aligns with early September climatology featuring residual monsoon influences and frontal activity, producing trader consensus around the 26–27°C outcomes. Minor model spread in precipitation timing introduces limited uncertainty for exact minimum values, with resolution hinging on official observational data from Shanghai stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,196Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple numerical weather models indicate overnight lows in Shanghai on September 4 clustered near 25–27°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and northeasterly winds advecting moist air that limits radiative cooling. High humidity levels above 80% and dew points near 24°C further suppress temperature drops overnight. This setup aligns with early September climatology featuring residual monsoon influences and frontal activity, producing trader consensus around the 26–27°C outcomes. Minor model spread in precipitation timing introduces limited uncertainty for exact minimum values, with resolution hinging on official observational data from Shanghai stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,196Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple numerical weather models indicate overnight lows in Shanghai on September 4 clustered near 25–27°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and northeasterly winds advecting moist air that limits radiative cooling. High humidity levels above 80% and dew points near 24°C further suppress temperature drops overnight. This setup aligns with early September climatology featuring residual monsoon influences and frontal activity, producing trader consensus around the 26–27°C outcomes. Minor model spread in precipitation timing introduces limited uncertainty for exact minimum values, with resolution hinging on official observational data from Shanghai stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan